Belmont – WA 2013

ALP 6.7%

Incumbent MP
Eric Ripper, since 1989. Previously Member for Ascot 1988-1989.

Geography
Inner-eastern Perth. Belmont covers suburbs on the south side of the Swan River, including the suburbs Rivervale, Kewdale, Belmont, Cloverdale, Redcliffe, Ascot and part of South Guilford. The seat covers the entirety of Belmont council area. While there are other council areas overlapping Belmont, most of the seat’s population lies in the one council area.

Redistribution
No change.

History
Belmont has existed continuously since 1989, and previously from 1962 until 1974. The seat has always been held by the ALP.

The seat was won in 1989 by Eric Ripper.

Ripper had won a by-election in the seat of Ascot in 1988, after the resignation of former Deputy Premier Mal Bryce.

In 1989, Ascot was abolished and most of the population was put into Belmont.

Ripper served as Deputy Leader of the Opposition under Geoff Gallop from 1996 to 2001, and then Deputy Premier in the Gallop and Carpenter governments until 2008.

After the ALP lost power in 2008, Ripper became Leader of the Opposition. He held the position until early 2012, when he resigned and was replaced by Mark McGowan.

Candidates
Sitting Labor MP Eric Ripper is not running for re-election.

Assessment
A 6.7% margin would normally be secure enough for the Labor Party, but the loss of Ripper’s personal vote after 25 years, and a likely swing to the Liberal Party, could make this seat hard for the Labor Party to hold.

2008 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Eric Ripper ALP 7,650 43.5 -10.6
Edward Richards LIB 5,953 33.9 +2.9
Louise Judge GRN 2,143 12.2 +4.5
John Yarrow FF 677 3.9 +3.9
John Gleeson IND 603 3.4 +3.4
Tasman Gilbert CDP 543 3.1 -1.0

2008 two-candidate-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Eric Ripper ALP 9,962 56.7 -5.0
Edward Richards LIB 7,596 43.3 +5.0

 

Polling booths in Belmont at the 2008 WA state election. North in blue, Central in orange, South in green.

Booth breakdown
Booths have been divided into three parts: north, central and south.

The ALP topped the poll in all three areas, with the vote varying from 42.4% in the north to 44.8% in the south. The Greens vote peaked at 12.5% in the north, and was at its lowest at 10.9% in the south.

Voter group ALP % LIB % GRN % Total votes % of votes
North 42.39 34.89 12.45 5,445 30.99
Central 43.56 33.59 11.81 4,275 24.33
South 44.84 33.83 10.93 3,934 22.39
Other votes 43.83 32.85 13.54 3,915 22.28

Labor primary votes in Belmont at the 2008 WA state election.

Liberal primary votes in Belmont at the 2008 WA state election.

Greens primary votes in Belmont at the 2008 WA state election.