Close seats liveblog

Wednesday 11:55pm - That's it for today. When there are updates tomorrow I'll resume the live blog. 11:54 - Now on to the conventional close races: Bradfield - Liberal Kapterian leads by 215 votes. I expect her to increase her lead slightly, but it's still very...

Close seats tracking, part 3 – the 3CP counts

The Australian Electoral Commission has now started publishing three-candidate-preferred counts for some electorates where the final two are not clear. They have published seat-level totals for a series of seats at this page, but these seem to be not quite as advanced as the...

Close seats tracking, part 2

For tonight's update, I'm going to first touch on the races I included in this morning's post and how they have changed. Those are the seats that are conventional close races. Then I will turn my focus to the seats where the two-candidate-preferred count has...

Close seats tracking, part 1 – the conventional close races

At the time of writing on Monday evening, there appear to be 17 close seats worth following over the next few days. By my reckoning there are three types of seats worth watching: Conventional close seats - Bradfield, Bullwinkel, Goldstein, Kooyong, Longman, Menzies, Wills Seats...

Podcast #148: A record-breaking election

Ben is joined by William Bowe from the Poll Bludger to discuss the results of yesterday's Australian federal election, which produced Labor's best result since 1943. We talk about the close seats, how multi-party politics is transforming local electorate contests and what is likely...

Australia 2025 – Wrap-up of the night

Good morning, I have been writing this blog post after getting home to wrap my own head around the scale of the count. I expect I will have some issues with the website's accessibility today, so some of this may also be posted over...

Election night open thread

Polls have just closed on the east coast. You can discuss the election results here tonight. I won't be liveblogging tonight - I'll be helping with the ABC's election coverage. But I'll be back on Sunday with some written analysis and a podcast. I suspect the website...

Election day open thread

Polls have just opened on the east coast in today's federal election. I won't be posting today, but you can discuss the election here. I'll put up another open thread at 6pm. I won't be liveblogging tonight - I'll be helping with the ABC's election coverage....

Federal election prediction thread

I don't have another idea for today's blog post, so why don't we use this as a thread for everyone to make their final predictions.

How wide is the hung parliament zone?

Primary votes for major parties have hit a record low, and they may break that record this weekend. There are also more crossbenchers in the House of Representatives than ever before, with numerous other credible candidates threatening to produce an even larger crossbench in...