LNP 9.3%
Incumbent MP
Jarrod Bleijie, since 2009.
Geography
Sunshine Coast. Kawana covers the central Sunshine Coast suburbs of Minyama, Buddina, Parrearra, Warana, Bokarina, Wurtulla, Birtinya, Aroona, Little Mountain, Currimundi and parts of Caloundra West.
History
The seat of Kawana was first established in 2001. The seat was held for two terms by the ALP and has now been held for three terms by the Liberal National Party.
Chris Cummins was first elected as the ALP candidate in 2001. Cummins was appointed to the ministry in 2004, and lost Kawana at the 2006 state election.
Steve Dickson won the seat for the Liberal Party in 2006, defeating Cummins. In 2009, Dickson transferred to the new seat of Buderim.
Jarrod Bleijie won Kawana in 2009, and has been re-elected four times.
Assessment
Kawana is a reasonably safe LNP seat.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Jarrod Bleijie | Liberal National | 16,148 | 50.8 | -5.1 |
| Bill Redpath | Labor | 9,835 | 31.0 | +5.5 |
| Anna Sri | Greens | 2,965 | 9.3 | -1.2 |
| Lynette Moussalli | One Nation | 1,924 | 6.1 | +6.1 |
| Pamela Mariko | Animal Justice | 569 | 1.8 | +1.8 |
| Afrikah McGladrigan | United Australia | 324 | 1.0 | +1.0 |
| Informal | 1,038 | 3.2 |
2020 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Jarrod Bleijie | Liberal National | 18,840 | 59.3 | -3.8 |
| Bill Redpath | Labor | 12,925 | 40.7 | +3.8 |
Booths in Kawana have been divided between north and south.
The LNP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in both areas, with 54.6% in the south and 59.3% in the north.
| Voter group | GRN prim % | LNP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| South | 10.8 | 54.6 | 3,175 | 10.0 |
| North | 13.3 | 59.3 | 2,895 | 9.1 |
| Pre-poll | 8.8 | 59.9 | 16,535 | 52.1 |
| Other votes | 8.5 | 59.9 | 9,160 | 28.8 |
Election results in Kawana at the 2020 Queensland state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal National Party, Labor and the Greens.
LNP will be praying they win the next election. Because Jarrod Bleijie is not a credible alternative as next in line as leader. I think there is a double standards in the media. The way he screwed up so badly as Attorney-General (Vlad laws, Tim Carmody etc) under a Newman government. If this was Labor there is no way the media particularly the Courier Mail would let up having someone of this capacity return as deputy. They have gone a lot harder on Jackie Trad, Yvette D’ath, and Mark Bailey.
Kawana swung against the LNP last state election by 3.8%. I suspect it was retirees that did this, as they trusted Labor more in managing pandemic. The LNP will increase there margin here at the next election.
LNP retain
This seat, along with the rest of Sunshine Coast and Gold Coast, are almost permanently blue. I suspect even if Labor threw the entire kitchen sink into this seat they won’t even make a dent of any sort, that’s how blue these areas are. I suspect even if the MP was involved in some sort of major criminal scandal/investigation they’d still be voted back in droves.
As for the Courier Mail, everything the LNP does (apart from the climate endorsement recently) is sunshine and roses whilst Labor breathes and they say people get a cold. It says it all about the supposed ‘news’ element of that outlet.
@ Tommo9
Agree with you i think only exceptions maybe Growth areas around Caloundra or Coomera (Gold Coast).
Of course there’s a double standard in the media. News Limited papers are all LNP propaganda mills, and they have been for decades now. Labor will never consistently get a fair appraisal in them.
Turning to Bleijie, he might be the most rabidly conservative MP in Queensland. He was certainly the most vocal one against expanding abortion access back in 2015. The more the general public hear from him, the worse their opinion of the LNP is going to be. Actually I think the party have done fairly well in getting him to keep a low profile in this election campaign, as it limits the damage he can do to them outside of his electorate.
Easy LNP retain – restoring the margin to double digits.