The Tally Room

I will firstly acknowledge that I am very late in publishing these figures. I've just finished moving house during the first two weeks of lockdown and it has pushed back my timelines. Anyway, this post contains my estimates of the two-candidate-preferred margins, the primary vote...

There is a by-election coming up this Saturday in the Queensland state seat of Stretton, following the death of Labor MP Duncan Pegg in early June. The seat covers the southern fringe of the City of Brisbane, close to the border with Logan. Pegg held...

The Covid-19 outbreak centred on Fairfield in south-western Sydney has shone a new light on a weak point in the NSW local government electoral system. The choice of a private company to run Fairfield's local council election to save money will mean that the...

So the NSW local government election is scheduled to be held on September 4, which is less than seven weeks away. Greater Sydney is still under lockdown, with case numbers close to their highest level. We may be at the peak, or there may be...

I have posted another two seat guides for the federal election as freebies for everyone to read: Boothby and Gilmore. With so many people still stuck under lockdown I thought people might enjoy having something to read. These two seats are both very marginal, one...

The draft electoral boundaries for Victoria's next state election were released on Wednesday. Significant population growth on the outer fringe of Melbourne has seen significant changes over the last eight years. This has resulted in three seats being abolished and three others split in...

The Australian Electoral Commission yesterday announced the final boundaries for Victoria for the next federal election. I don't have any detailed or complete analysis because they have not published any maps or data, just descriptions of the changes. They have made changes to 13 seats compared...

I have just completed the first stage of the guide to the next federal election, and I'm now making it available as a reward for people who support this website, with the guide to be publicly released down the track. The guide so far features...

New York City is currently undergoing their first experience of using ranked-choice voting, otherwise known as preferential voting, in a major election. It is being used for the primaries for the mayor of New York City along with other local offices. The Democratic mayoral primary...