Closing the gap in federal seat enrolments in NSW

Federal redistributions will commence this year in three states. Victoria will lose a seat, Western Australia will gain a seat, and New South Wales will also have a redistribution. A redistribution will commence next month for New South Wales with its current 47 seats,...

Prospects for changes in federal seat numbers

After every election, there is a process to determine how many electorates each state and territory is entitled to at the following federal election. That process will take place in the middle of 2023. The process will utilise the latest population estimates from the...

How did below-the-line voting perform in Victoria?

I spent a lot of energy before the Victorian election talking about below the line voting - encouraging voters to use the method and analysing its impact on previous elections. We now have all the data to assess how things went. While the below-the-line...

Voting patterns for left-wing minor parties in Victoria

One of the most fascinating aspects of the Victorian state election was the role of the small left-wing minor parties. The Greens used to have this lane largely to themselves, but a number of other parties have now emerged, with two of these parties...

Victoria 2022 – which parties did best in areas with high informal rates?

In the weeks after the Victorian election, I saw some analysis looking at the geographic patterns of support for some of the parties. One of the things I was most interested in identifying was the relationship between informal voting trends and support for particular...

Victoria 2022 – informal vote drops despite bigger ballots

The informal rate reached a record high at the 2018 Victorian state election. With record-large ballot papers at the 2022 election, I had wondered what might happen to the informal rate last year. While the informal rate was the second-highest on record for the...

Victoria 2022 – the early vote majority

The recent Victorian election was the first such election since the COVID-19 pandemic started, and it was yet another example of the trend towards people voting early being accelerated by the pandemic. This was the first Victorian state election where a majority of votes were...

New Victorian election datasets

Over the summer break I've added a bunch of new data to my data repository. Specifically I've added results from the 2006, 2010 and 2022 Victorian state elections. Part of the repository is available for the general public, including the most recent election for each...

The non-classic contests in Victoria

One way of looking at the Victorian election is to examine which seats ended up being 'non-classic' contests - seats where the two-candidate-preferred count didn't end up being a Labor vs Coalition count. This statistic peaked in 2018, and has gone slightly backwards in 2022,...

Podcast #85: Wrapping up Victoria 2022

For the final episode of 2022, Ben is joined by Narelle Miragliotta and Henry Schlechta to discuss the final results of the Victorian state election. This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your...