The Tally Room

Last Thursday, the first round of draft boundaries for the next New Zealand election was released to the public. After extensive work, I have now produced a Google Earth map of the boundaries, as well as estimates of the vote for each party in the...

LNP-turned-independent Queensland MP Scott Driscoll resigned from Parliament earlier this week, facing the threat of expulsion from the Parliament. His seat of Redcliffe will go to the polls in early 2014 - meaning we now have two expected by-elections due in early 2014 in Brisbane...

As I reported earlier this year, Queensland is progressing with a plan to de-amalgamate four former local council areas from the super-councils created in 2007-8. Voters in these four areas voted in favour of de-amalgamating in March 2013. All four of these council areas elected new...

The Western Australian government has recently unveiled its latest plans to drastically reduce the number of councils covering the Perth area. The latest model reduces the number of councils in Perth from 30 to 15, with only three councils left without boundary changes. One council...

I have now posted the Tally Room guide to the upcoming Griffith by-election. The Griffith by-election is expected early in 2014 to replace former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, who announced his retirement earlier this week. The seat will be quite vulnerable to the LNP, with...

Following on from the conclusion of the Victorian state redistribution in October, I have now completed the Victorian state map for Google Earth, covering the 2014 election. Maps have been created for both the Legislative Assembly and the Legislative Council, and you can download them...

A by-election is coming up at the end of the month in the New Zealand electorate of Christchurch East. The seat has been safe Labour for most of the last century, but things have changed in the area. At the last election, Labour was beaten...

As a follow-up to Saturday's post I wanted to revisit the question of how much the WA Senate recount result was effected by the missing votes from the four booths in Forrest and Pearce. On my post the other day, I estimated that the missing...

Update: The result today saw Scott Ludlam (GRN) and Wayne Dropulich (Sports Party) elected instead of the PUP and ALP candidates who had won in the first count. The margin at the key point is 12 votes, a net turn-around of 26 votes. The...

Last night's result was very dramatic, and something most people weren't expecting. Miranda isn't exactly strong Labor territory, and the massive 22% swing in 2011 seemed to indicate a reversion to form for an area that's mostly contained in the federal seat of Cook, a...