The Tally Room

Don’t like senators winning with 77 primary votes? Here’s how to fix it

Ben Raue - August 6, 2016

There's been a lot of attention over the last few days on the newly elected One Nation senator from Queensland, Malcolm Roberts. His election was a bit of a surprise, whereas we were confident that Pauline Hanson would win her seat, and her two...

ACT 2016 – the guide

Ben Raue - July 29, 2016

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Voters in the Australian Capital Territory go to the polls on October 15 to elect a new Legislative Assembly. The current 17-member assembly will be replaced by an enlarged 25-member assembly. To achieve this, two new electorates called Murrumbidgee and Yerrabi have been added, and...

Senate preferences – unpacking the data

Ben Raue - July 29, 2016

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One of the exciting things about the new Senate voting system is that we are on the verge of gaining a lot of new data on how people preference. The AEC has released the full dataset of Senate preferences for the last few elections,...

Tasmanian Senate button-push – summary

Ben Raue - July 28, 2016

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I've got a piece prepared for the Guardian today which discusses the Tasmanian Senate result but I had some thoughts that didn't fit in to include here. Firstly, the challenge in winning a seat from below the line isn't just in gaining enough primary votes...

Double NSW elections – the guide

Ben Raue - July 22, 2016

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There are two New South Wales state seats which are due to hold by-elections this year, after the incumbent MPs resigned to run (successfully) in the federal election. Labor MP Linda Burney resigned from the inner-west Sydney seat of Canterbury to run for Barton, and...

QLD redistribution – the numbers

Ben Raue - July 21, 2016

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Queensland is about to dive into a redistribution of state electorates, to update the existing electoral map which was created in the lead up to the 2009 election. Queensland currently has 89 electorates, but will be adding four additional seats for the next election, thanks...

Map update – ward maps for NSW and Victoria

Ben Raue - July 19, 2016

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As we get close to the conclusion of the federal election, I've started work on some upcoming elections. There will be council elections in New South Wales in September this year, and in Victoria in October. These elections will cover the whole of Victoria, and...

Toowoomba South results

Ben Raue - July 16, 2016

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Voters in the Queensland state seat of Toowoomba South voted today in a by-election to succeed Liberal National MP John McVeigh, who had resigned from the seat to run (successfully) for the federal seat of Groom. I'd taken the night off after the last two...

Close seats – two weeks in

Ben Raue - July 16, 2016

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It's now been two weeks since polls opened, and we are now getting very close to a conclusion of the House of Representatives count. There is only one conventional seat still in play, which is Herbert. There will also be news today in Melbourne Ports...

Close seats – Thursday morning update

Ben Raue - July 14, 2016

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We're getting close to the end! In this update, I am calling two more seats for Labor, leaving only one seat up for grabs. This leaves a total of: 76 - Coalition 68 - Labor 5 - Others 1 - undecided Seat Absent Provisional Pre-poll Postal Current Labor lead Projected Labor lead Cowan 2219 0 2774 216 1030 728 Herbert 276 969 867 1098 -34 -196 Hindmarsh 2644 1571 489 791 617 889 Cowan There...