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I can see them appeal of all those seachangers wish I had of got in on the ground floor
We can see there is a very big divide between the LGAs
Ballina Shire is more Centrist where Both Labor and Nats can do well. The Greens vote here is more soft and a personal vote for the sitting MP
However, Byron Shire is thumping left wing-even a moderate Liberal like Matt Kean or Turnbull will not do well. It is the thumping left wing vote in Byron Bay that swamps centrist voters in the rest of the seat
The Greens are getting 50-60% of the primary vote in the northern third between Byron and Mullum. It’s a unique place, super hippie yet super anti-authoritarian. Apparently, it has the lowest vaccination rate in all of Australia.
@Craig I went on my Schoolies up there after the lockdowns, can confirm it’s a very libertarian-left area; pro personal freedoms (they weren’t very friendly to the whole mask mandate), but also pro social equality.
The vaccine rate doesn’t surprise me either.
Ballina and Byron Shire have the most expensive real estate markets in regional Australia. Lots of remote WFH workers, property investors, Airbnb hosts and sea and tree changers have moved in. For most other people, they’re paying Sydney prices without earning Sydney salaries.
The hipster and alternative lifestyle demographics combined with the housing crisis and inequality won’t do favours for Labor and the Nationals.
I go through here 3-4 times a year.on my bus home from qld
It reminds me a bit of Silicon Valley, California. I have not been to Silicon Valley, but from what I have read, it has many parallels. If you have money and can move into the area you do well if you are a local or do not have money you struggle. I am comparing the culture vibe and prices. The question, though, is that since the Greens are pivoting from a somewhat upscale, suburban, eco-friendly, semi-libertarian party to an economic-focused party that will attract a lot of younger and disaffected voters, will we see some of these numbers drop? That has lately been more on the Federal level, but I wonder if it will filter down to the state level. But his seat doesn’t seem to respond to a “woe is me” campaign.