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Don’t see Labor losing this but likely One Nation will improve.
@ SpaceFish
This seat is only likely to fall at a very bad election like 2004, 2013. While ONP may improve at expense of Liberals this area is quite diverse by Perth standards, second most diverse after Cowan.
@Nimalan,
Agree that unless Labor has a landslide style defeat like 1975, 1977, 1996 or 2013 then yes. I didn’t realise that the seat was a diverse I might have mixed it up with another seat.
cant see liberals winning here on current borders. might be possible once wa gets a 17th seat
Agree Spacefish it would be a 1975,1977, 1966 or 2013 style Defeat. 31.6% of people speak a Non English language at home while that may seem low compared to NSW or VIC seats it is above national average. It is also 8% Muslim which is more than double National Average for this reason i think a 2004 style result may not be enough as it would have diversified a lot since 2004.
Reliable alp seat….this is the Alp s
Tangney which is currently. Alp held