Update: results now include prepoll figures that came in late on the night. The Greens have overtaken the Sex Party, coming fifth. The DLP have overtaken Hung Vo for third place.
Lyndhurst’s by-election will certainly see Labor candidate Martin Pakula elected, but the results were more interesting than expected. The swing against Labor currently sits on 14.5%.
Results from polling places and postal votes have been counted, with early votes and provisional votes yet to come.
On the current figures, the Family First candidate is coming second, followed in quick succession by independent candidate Hung Vo, and the DLP, the Greens and the Sex Party.
The result is disappointing for Labor. Despite the fact that they should comfortably retain the seat, they lost a huge chunk of their vote in a race with no high-profile opponent and no Liberal candidate at all.
The increase in vote for the independent and two right-wing minor candidates isn’t surprising, as 27.8% of the vote had to flow somewhere in the absence of the Liberal Party.
In these circumstances, it’s not surprising that these voters largely favoured Family First and the DLP over the Greens.
The Greens would be disappointed coming fifth or sixth in the seat, but despite being overtaken by other candidates, the result was still an increase in the Greens vote. Currently the Greens are up 2.8%, and only went backwards in one booth.
On the night the notional two-candidate-preferred count was conducted between Labor and the Greens, which was made redundant by the order of candidates on primary votes. While Family First are likely to come second, we won’t know that until the official distribution of preferences is conducted.
Click below the fold to look at a series of maps, featuring first preference maps for the six top polling candidates. For Labor, the Greens, the DLP and Family First, and for Hung Vo, I’ve also included swing maps.