Macedon – Victoria 2022

ALP 13.4%

Incumbent MP
Mary-Anne Thomas, since 2014.

Geography
North-western Victoria. Macedon covers regional areas to the northwest of Melbourne, including Gisborne, Macedon, Woodend, Hepburn Springs, Malsbury and Kyneton. The electorate covers the entirety of Macedon Ranges Shire, and parts of Hepburn, Melton, Moorabool and Mount Alexander council areas.

Redistribution
Macedon retracted slightly at the southern end, with a small part of the seat moved into Melton.

History
Macedon was created at the 2002 election, replacing the abolished seat of Gisborne. Gisborne had been held continuously for the Liberal Party from its creation in 1967 until 1999, when the ALP’s Joanne Duncan gained the seat with a 9.4% swing.

Gisborne was abolished in 2002, and the newly created seat of Macedon had a notional margin of 0.4% for the Liberal Party. Duncan gained yet another 9.6%  swing to win Macedon with a substantial margin. She maintained most of that margin in 2006.

In 2010, Duncan was re-elected to a fourth term representing the area, with her margin cut from 8.2% to 1.3%.

Duncan retired in 2014, and Labor’s Mary-Anne Thomas was elected. She was re-elected in 2018.

Candidates

Assessment
Macedon is a safe Labor seat.

2018 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Mary-Anne Thomas Labor 19,251 48.0 +9.3 48.1
Amanda Millar Liberal 12,836 32.0 -11.2 31.8
Ralf Thesing Greens 3,936 9.8 -5.6 9.9
Ruth Parramore Animal Justice 1,584 3.9 +4.0 4.0
Tony O’Brien Democratic Labour 1,296 3.2 +3.2 3.2
Rob Bakes Independent 1,230 3.1 +3.1 3.1
Informal 1,992 4.7 +1.1

2018 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Mary-Anne Thomas Labor 25,384 63.2 +9.4 63.4
Amanda Millar Liberal 14,794 36.8 -9.4 36.6

Booth breakdown

Booths have been divided into four areas: east, north, south-east and west.

Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all four areas, ranging from 62.4% in the south-east to 72.5% in the west.

The Greens came third, with a primary vote ranging from 8.8% in the south-east to 14.4% in the west.

Voter group GRN prim % ALP 2PP % Total votes % of votes
South-East 8.8 62.4 6,224 15.7
East 9.1 65.6 6,180 15.6
North 11.1 66.7 5,047 12.8
West 14.4 72.5 4,127 10.4
Pre-poll 8.2 60.3 10,987 27.8
Other votes 10.7 59.2 7,019 17.7

Election results in Macedon at the 2018 Victorian state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal Party and the Greens.

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1 COMMENT

  1. Will be interesting to see how Mary-Anne Thomas performs as Health Minister. Her previous portfolios were relatively uncontroversial, and she comes across as less of a political attack dog than most members of the Victorian cabinet. The opposition will no doubt grill her in Question Time the same way they did Martin Foley, and I am curious to see how she handles it, both in substance and style.

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