Niddrie – Victoria 2010

ALP 11.2%

Incumbent MP
Rob Hulls, since 1996.

Geography
Northwestern Melbourne. Niddrie covers western parts of the City of Moonee Valley and northeastern parts of the City of Brimbank. The seat covers the suburbs of Airport West, Avondale Heights, Essendon West, Kealba, Keilor East, Keilor Park, Niddrie and parts of Essendon, Keilor and Tullamarine.

History
Niddrie has existed as an electoral district since 1976, and has always been held by the ALP.

The seat was first won in 1976 by Jack Simpson. He served as a minister in the Labor state government from 1982 to 1985, and retired in 1988.

Simpson was replaced in 1988 by Bob Sercombe. Sercombe served as ALP deputy leader from 1993 to 1994. He held the seat until 1996, when he resigned to run for the federal seat of Maribyrnong. He held Maribyrnong until 2007, when he retired in the face of a strong preselection challenge.

Rob Hulls won the seat of Niddrie at the 1996 state election. He became a minister following the 1999 state election and became Deputy Premier in 2007 upon the retirement of Steve Bracks and his Deputy Premier, John Thwaites.

Candidates

  • Mark Markovic (Family First)
  • Rob Hulls (Labor)
  • John Nott (Independent)
  • Brian Roberts (Independent)
  • Jim Little (Independent)
  • Robert Livesay (Independent)
  • Steve Medcraft (Independent)
  • Joh Bauch (Liberal)
  • Leharna Black (Greens)

Political situation
Niddrie is a solidly safe Labor seat.

2006 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Rob Hulls ALP 17,034 53.76 -6.32
James Buonopane LIB 9,972 31.47 +1.93
Gwen Lee GRN 2,893 9.13 +1.86
Mark Markovic FF 1,789 5.65 +5.65

2006 two-candidate-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Rob Hulls ALP 19,396 61.22 -5.38
James Buonopane LIB 12,288 38.78 +5.38

Booth breakdown
Polling booths in Niddrie have been divided into four areas, between those in the north of the seat, south, east, and the centre.

The ALP polled most strongly in the south and north of the seat, with the weakest area being those at the eastern end of the seat.

 

Polling booths in Niddrie at the 2006 state election. North in blue, Central in red, South in yellow, East in green.

 

 

 

 

Voter group GRN % ALP 2CP % Total votes % of votes
North 9.55 62.91 7,747 24.45
Central 8.53 60.83 7,090 22.38
South 8.36 65.71 6,535 20.63
East 9.57 56.56 5,097 16.09
Other votes 9.86 58.14 5,215 16.46
Two-party-preferred votes in Niddrie at the 2006 state election.

6 COMMENTS

  1. Interesting at state and federal level that Keilor booth always goes Liberal. I’m assuming that’s due to the semi-rural market gardening areas immediately to the north (this area is immediately under the airport flight path so has been left undeveloped).

    As with Essendon, this seat contains some of the better Liberal areas in the whole north-western suburbs (Essendon, Niddrie, parts of Keilor East). You can see the overlapping federal seat of Maribyrnong is always 5-10% softer for Labor than surrounding safe Labor seats.

  2. Candidates in ballot paper order:

    Mark Markovic – Family First
    Rob Hulls – Labor
    John Nott –
    Brian Roberts –
    Jim Little –
    Robert Livesay –
    Steve Medcraft –
    Joh Bauch – Liberal
    Leharna Black – Greens

  5. Pauline: After a wrestle with the VEC’s surprisingly crap website, it looks like your nearest polling place is St John Bosco’s Primary, at 6 Muriel St, Niddrie. 🙂

    I just had to dig that info out of a Excel spreadsheet. The WAEC actually have maps with polling places marked on them, like this one for Perth district. VEC need to get better.

  6. MDMConnell, that Kelior booth recieves voters from the biggest McManions in the western suburbs, so I wouldn’t be surprised if a lot of those voters had strong liberal bias, in the same way that the Point Cook (Altona district) booths are a 50-50 split in an otherwise very strong Labor area. Looking at the exact boundaries, I think a lot of the farmers actually live in Yuroke or Kelior itself, with only a statistically insiginficant number voting here.

Comments are closed.