Nepean – Victoria 2010

LIB 9.4%

Incumbent MP
Martin Dixon, since 2002. Previously Member for Dromana 1996-2002.

Geography
Mornington Peninsula. Nepean covers the southernmost part of Mornington Peninsula, including Point Nepean.

History
Nepean was created in 2002, replacing the abolished seat of Dromana, which had always been held by the Liberal Party since its creation in 1967.

Dromana was won in 1996 by Martin Dixon. He was re-elected in 1999. In 2002 he ran for Nepean, which had a 6.3% notional margin for the Liberal Party. He suffered a large swing, and held on with a 0.2% margin.

In 2006, Dixon gained a 9% swing, taking Nepean out of the marginal seat category.

Candidates

Political situation
Nepean should be a safe hold for the Liberal Party.

2006 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Martin Dixon LIB 17,658 54.59 +7.36
Anne Marshall ALP 10,315 31.89 -9.54
Henry Kelsall GRN 3,502 10.83 -0.51
Craig Nelson FF 872 2.70 +2.70

2006 two-candidate-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Martin Dixon LIB 19,203 59.38 +9.21
Anne Marshall ALP 13,138 40.62 -9.21

Booth breakdown
Booths in Nepean have been divided into four areas. The four booths in Rosebud have been grouped. The remaining booths along Port Phillip Bay have been grouped as “West” and “East”, with the remainder as “South”.

The Liberal Party won a majority in all areas, varying from 54% in Rosebud to over 61% in the south of the seat.

 

Polling booths in Nepean at the 2006 state election. East in green, Rosebud in yellow, West in red, South in blue.
Voter group GRN % LIB 2CP % Total votes % of votes
West 11.33 58.99 7,217 22.32
Rosebud 10.74 54.18 5,820 18.00
East 10.12 60.87 5,029 15.55
South 18.32 61.25 3,566 11.03
Other votes 8.37 61.14 10,709 33.11
Two-party-preferred votes in Nepean at the 2006 state election.
Greens primary votes in Nepean at the 2006 state election.

1 COMMENT

  1. According to the VEC, the Liberals polled 87% TPP at Portsea this time around!

    This would have to beat out Toorak, Vaucluse, Ascot, and Peppermint Grove as the best “urban” Liberal booth in the country, wouldn’t it?

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