ALP 10.0%
Incumbent MP
Peter Russo, since 2017. Previously Member for Sunnybank 2015-2017.
Geography
Brisbane. Toohey covers southern parts of the City of Brisbane, specifically the suburbs of Sunnybank, Rocklea, Moorooka, Salisbury, Coopers Plains, Robertson, Macgregor, Nathan and Eight Mile Plains.
History
The seat of Sunnybank first existed from 1992 to 2001, and was restored at the 2009 election. The seat was renamed as Toohey in 2017.
Sunnybank was won in 1992 by the ALP’s Stephen Robertson. In 2001 he moved to the new seat of Stretton. He has served as a minister since 1999.
The ALP’s Judy Spence won the seat of Mount Gravatt in 1989. She defeated the former National Party MP. Spence became a minister in the Labor government in 1998, serving in the ministry until the 2009 election.
In 2009, Mount Gravatt was abolished and Spence won the new seat of Sunnybank.
Spence retired in 2012, and Labor candidate Meg Bishop was defeated by LNP candidate Mark Stewart. Labor’s Peter Russo defeated Stewart in 2015.
Russo was re-elected as member for Toohey in 2017.
Candidates
- Warren Craze (Liberal National)
- Claudia Roel (One Nation)
- Claire Garton (Greens)
- Nikolas Peterson (Legalise Cannabis)
- Peter Russo (Labor)
Assessment
Toohey is a safe Labor seat.
2017 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Peter Russo | Labor | 12,284 | 44.6 | -1.3 |
| Anthony Shorten | Liberal National | 8,336 | 30.3 | -7.1 |
| Gordon King | Greens | 4,026 | 14.6 | +2.9 |
| Victor Zhang | One Nation | 2,891 | 10.5 | +10.5 |
| Informal | 1,398 | 4.8 |
2017 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Peter Russo | Labor | 16,526 | 60.0 | +1.7 |
| Anthony Shorten | Liberal National | 11,011 | 40.0 | -1.7 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Toohey have been divided into three areas: north-east, south-east and west.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, polling 55.2% in the north-east, 55.9% in the south-east and a much stronger majority of 70% in the west.
The Greens came third, with a primary vote ranging from 11% in the south-east to 22% in the west.
| Voter group | GRN prim | ALP 2PP | Total votes | % of votes |
| West | 21.8 | 70.2 | 6,921 | 25.1 |
| South-East | 11.1 | 55.9 | 6,417 | 23.3 |
| North-East | 11.9 | 55.2 | 3,149 | 11.4 |
| Pre-poll | 11.8 | 56.8 | 5,331 | 19.4 |
| Other votes | 14.0 | 57.9 | 5,719 | 20.8 |
Election results in Toohey at the 2017 QLD state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and One Nation primary votes.
Like Stretton, there really is no challenge to the ALP here, being part of their solid southern Brisbane base.
Prediction (August 2020): ALP Retain
Prediction: ALP Retain
ALP retain, but the sitting member to retire mid term for Trad to return via this safer seat.