Currumbin – QLD 2017

LNP 5.7%

Incumbent MP
Jann Stuckey, since 2004.

Geography
Gold Coast. Currumbin is the southernmost electorate in the Gold Coast, bordering New South Wales. It covers the suburbs of Coolangatta, Tugun, Currumbin and Elanora, as well as the Currumbin and Tallebudgera valleys.

Redistribution
Currumbin lost the remainder of Palm Beach to Burleigh. This change increased the LNP margin from 5.2% to 5.7%.

History
The seat of Currumbin has existed since 1986. The seat has alternated between all three major parties, and has been held by the Liberal Party/LNP since 2004.

The seat was first won in 1986 by the National Party’s Leo Gately. In 1989, Gately was defeated by the Liberal Party’s Trevor Coomber. Coomber was defeated in 1992 by the ALP’s Merri Rose.

Rose was re-elected in 1995, 1998 and 2001, and joined the ministry after the 2001 election.

In 2004, Rose was defeated by the Liberal Party’s Jann Stuckey. Rose was later convicted of demanding benefit with threats due to her attempts to find work in the public service following her election loss, and she was sentence to 18 months in prison.

Jann Stuckey retained Currumbin at the 2006, 2009, 2012 and 2015 elections.

Candidates

Assessment
Currumbin is a relatively safe LNP seat.

2015 election result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Jann Stuckey Liberal National 13,389 45.4 -13.5 45.9
Ashley Wain Labor 8,804 29.8 +7.9 29.8
David Wyatt Greens 3,442 11.7 +2.2 11.1
Kristian Rees Palmer United Party 2,046 6.9 +6.9 6.9
Deborah Gravenall One Nation 1,073 3.6 +3.6 3.7
Ben Donovan Family First 746 2.5 0.0 2.5
Informal 727 2.4

2015 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Jann Stuckey Liberal National 14,475 55.2 -15.0 55.7
Ashley Wain Labor 11,734 44.8 +15.0 44.3
Exhausted 3,291 11.2

Booth breakdown

Booths in Currumbin have been divided into three areas: central, east and west.

The LNP won a large majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 53.6% in the east to 58.9% in the west.

The Greens came third, with a vote ranging from 10.2% in the centre to 16.4% in the west.

Voter group GRN prim % LNP 2PP % Total votes % of votes
Central 10.2 53.9 8,693 33.7
East 11.4 53.6 4,854 18.8
West 16.4 58.9 2,542 9.9
Other votes 10.4 57.6 9,688 37.6

Election results in Currumbin at the 2015 QLD state election
Click on the ‘visible layers’ box to toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Greens primary votes.

2 COMMENTS

  1. Hearing that labor are actually targeting this seat as a smokey. Apparently people are sick of Stuckey. Labor have already had their candidate launch for this seat which proves they sniff something. A lot of labor veterans based on Gold Coast now plus labor didn’t do well there last election so perhaps they feel a swing to them.

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here