Canada takes another shot at a majority

Canadian voters will go to the polls on 2 May for their fourth federal election in seven years. The centre-left Liberal Party governed in majority for eleven years from 1993 to 2004, easily brushing away divided conservative forces alongside a popular sovereignty movement in Quebec....

Can Campbell do it?

While we were all distracted by the recent NSW election, an interesting psephological story broke in Queensland with relatively little fanfare. The Lord Mayor of Brisbane, Campbell Newman, has announced that he will contest the marginal Labor seat of Ashgrove at the next state election,...

Labor and the Punch lie about Greens and Hanson

Plenty of people have already taken News Ltd hack David Penberthy to task for his lie that the Greens preferenced Pauline Hanson in the Legislative Council over the Labor Party. It's a pretty easily disproved claim, considering the Greens did not give any preference...

NSW 2011: Legislative Council count moves forward

A lot of information has fed into the count for the Legislative Council, bringing us much closer to a conclusion. Nearly all above-the-line votes have now been counted at local electoral offices. With 11 seats going to the Liberal-National coalition, 5 to the Labor Party,...

NSW 2011: Legislative Council

At the latest point in the count in the Legislative Council, the figures for the main contenders are: Liberal/National - 10.66 quotas Labor - 5.35 Greens - 2.42 Shooters and Fishers - 0.81 Christian Democrat - 0.68 Pauline Hanson - 0.41 This would produce a result of 19 Coalition, 14 Labor,...

NSW 2011: seats in doubt

There are a number of seats that are in doubt after last night's counting. Balmain - Balmain is the most interesting seat of the election at the moment. At time of writing, the Liberal candidate James Falk leads on 32.3%, with sitting Labor MP Verity...

NSW 2011: general wrap-up

I'll be writing a number of posts today about the result's of yesterday's NSW state election, covering the seats in doubt, the race in the Legislative Council, and the scale of the defeat for Labor. As far as general trends are concerned, some things are...

NSW 2011: results

8:52 - Seats that Labor currently appears to have lost to the Coalition: Blue Mountains, Camden, Campbelltown, Charlestown, Coogee, Drummoyne, Gosford, Heathcote, Londonderry, Maitland, Menai, Miranda, Mulgoa, Parramatta, Riverstone, Rockdale, Smithfield, Strathfield, The Entrance, Wollondilly and Wyong. The Nationals have gained Bathurst, but have...

NSW election open thread

The people of New South Wales are going to the polls today in a state election. The Coalition is expected to win a massive majority, with the Labor Party facing one of their worst results in the party's history. Use this thread to discuss the...

NSW 2011: reckless predictions

With two days to go, it's time to make some predictions. Lots of predictions have been made, some on individual seat threads and others on general NSW threads, but I thought it was time to bring them all together and make a stab myself. I expect...