The Tally Room

Voters in the Queensland state seat of Toowoomba South voted today in a by-election to succeed Liberal National MP John McVeigh, who had resigned from the seat to run (successfully) for the federal seat of Groom. I'd taken the night off after the last two...

It's now been two weeks since polls opened, and we are now getting very close to a conclusion of the House of Representatives count. There is only one conventional seat still in play, which is Herbert. There will also be news today in Melbourne Ports...

We're getting close to the end! In this update, I am calling two more seats for Labor, leaving only one seat up for grabs. This leaves a total of: 76 - Coalition 68 - Labor 5 - Others 1 - undecided Seat Absent Provisional Pre-poll Postal Current Labor lead Projected Labor lead Cowan 2219 0 2774 216 1030 728 Herbert 276 969 867 1098 -34 -196 Hindmarsh 2644 1571 489 791 617 889 Cowan There...

Following yesterday's post analysing the NSW, VIC and QLD Senate counts, here's my analysis of Western Australia, South Australia and an update of the Tasmanian race. Western Australia Full quotas: 5 Liberal, 3 Labor, 1 Greens Parties in the race: 0.7027 - Labor 0.5025 - One Nation 0.3378...

Up until now, I've largely ignored preferences when working out who are the leading contenders for Senate seats. While the new system will likely make it impossible for parties on a tiny vote to jump ahead of a number of contenders, preferences are still...

Sorry there was no update yesterday - I only have limited time each day and I devoted it to my takedown of electronic voting in the Guardian. In today's update I'm calling three more seats for the Coalition giving them 76 seats. Labor is leading...

I didn't get a chance to do an update yesterday morning as I headed over to Moorebank to observe the NSW Senate count - I'll come back to that topic soon with a post on the Senate race. Seat summary I'm calling Gilmore for the Coalition, as I...

We've made some more progress yesterday, and I believe we can narrow this list from nine to seven seats today. As a reminder, the first four columns of data in this spreadsheet represent the AEC's official data on how many votes are left to be processed...

The Senate data published on election night was very messy. For a start, it didn't make any effort to distinguish above-the-line and below-the-line votes, instead throwing all votes for each group into one pile. Secondly, a lot of votes that will turn out to be formal...