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Why do the Liberals do so well in the Oatlands North booth? Also this seat was another seat I thought the Liberals could win off the ALP but now the margin has blowout to double digits.
Space fish, I believe Oatlands has a high retiree population and is also less diverse with fewer residents from CALD minority backgrounds. These factors make it a conservative leaning suburb, similar to places such as St Ives in Bradfield district and Terrey Hills in Mackellar district which are also demographic outliers/enclaves in comparison to other suburbs.
Oatlands has almost 52% of people who use a language other than English at home so pretty CALD – Lebanese Catholics might vote Liberal heavily.
The thing that did the liberals here was the choice of candidate and the obvious campaign blunder. Charlton is not representative of the seat and is a parachute from the well off areas on the coast. The libs could probly win this of the right factors worked in their favour