- Candy Broad (ALP), since 2006. Previously MLC for Melbourne North 1999-2006.
- Kaye Darveniza (ALP), since 2006. Previously MLC for Melbourne West 1999-2006.
- Damian Drum (NAT), since 2006. Previously MLC for North West 2002-2006.
- Wendy Lovell (LIB), since 2006. Previously MLC for North East 2002-2006.
- Donna Petrovich (LIB), since 2006.
Northern Victoria region covers the electoral districts of Benalla, Benambra, Bendigo East, Bendigo West, Macedon, Mildura, Murray Valley, Rodney, Seymour, Shepparton and Swan Hill. Northern Victoria covers the length of the New South Wales border along the Murray River from the South Australian border to the seat of Benambra, including Wodonga. The region extends south to cover the Bendigo area and rural areas north of Melbourne.
Six of Northern Victoria’s seats are held by the Nationals, four are held by the ALP and one is held by the Liberal Party. All six National seats are held by large margins, with six of the seven safest Coalition seats being in Northern Victoria. The Liberal seat of Benambra is held by a 7.7% margin.
The four Labor seats are held by margins between 5.4% and 10.6%.
|Democratic Labor Party||7,841||2.15||0.1288|
|Christian Democratic Party||1,881||0.51||0.0309|
The ALP, the Liberal Party and the Nationals each won a quota in their own right. The ALP polled 80% of a second quota, while the Liberal Party and Nationals polled a second total quota between them. The Greens polled 43% of a quota.
After the entire count, the final breakdown was:
- Darveniza (ALP) – 0.8247 quotas
- Alden (GRN) – 0.6170
- Hulls (FF) – 0.4997
The exclusion of the Family First candidate elected the second Labor candidate. Not all Family First preferences were distributed, but very few flowed to the Greens, suggesting that the final Labor vs Greens margin can be calculated by crediting most Family First preferences to the ALP. This final margin comes out as approximately 11.2%.
The Greens are running former Mayor of Greater Bendigo, David Jones. The ALP is running sitting MLCs Candy Broad and Kaye Darveniza.
The first seat for the Labor, Liberal and National parties can all be judged as safe, and the second Liberal seat is reasonably secure considering the surplus vote from the Nationals.
The Coalition is a long way from being able to win four seats. The second Labor seat is only really vulnerable to the Greens. Even then, the Greens would require a swing of over 5% to claim that seat, which is still a substantial ask.