Senate – Northern Territory – Australia 2019

Incumbent Senators

  • Malarndirri McCarthy (Labor)
  • Nigel Scullion (Country Liberal)

History

The Northern Territory first elected Senators in 1975, when the Labor Party and the Country Liberal Party each won a single seat. Both parties have maintained this 1-1 split at every election since, with no serious challenge to this status quo.

The strongest ever minor party performance came in 1987, when the Northern Territory National Party, who were not endorsed by the federal Nationals, ran for the Senate and polled over 14%. This election saw the CLP fall below a quota (polling 32.5%) for the only time in three decades of Senate elections. The National Party never ran again for the Senate in the Northern Territory, and the CLP recovered to a primary vote above 40% in 1990. The 1987 election saw the ALP top the poll for the first time, and ever since then the party that won the federal election has topped the poll in the Northern Territory, with the CLP winning in 1996, 1998, 2001, 2004 and 2010; and the ALP coming first in 2007.

In 1998 the CLP fell below 40% for the second time when One Nation polled 9.3%, but they still safely won a quota.

In 2010, the ALP suffered a 12.6% swing against them. That vote was split between the Shooters and Fishers and the Sex Party, who hadn’t run before, and a 4.7% swing to the Greens.

Trish Crossin stepped down in 2013 after losing preselection to Nova Peris. Peris served in the Senate until shortly before the 2016 election, when she was succeeded by Malarndirri McCarthy.

2016 result

GroupVotes%SwingQuota
Labor 38,19737.4+4.71.1231
Country Liberal 37,15636.4-4.91.0925
Greens 11,00310.8+2.10.3235
Rise Up Australia6,7686.6+5.70.1990
Marijuana (HEMP)/Sex Party4,9564.9+4.90.1457
Christian Democratic Party1,6601.6+1.60.0488
Citizens Electoral Council1,2551.2+0.90.0369
Ungrouped1,0321.0

Candidates
No information.

Assessment
It is very hard to see a result other than one Labor and one Country Liberal senator.
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