Kew – Victoria 2018

LIB 10.6%

Incumbent MP
Tim Smith, since 2014.

Geography
Eastern Melbourne. Kew covers suburbs on the eastern shore of the Yarra River, including Bellevue, Deepdene, Kew and parts of Balwyn, Balwyn North and Canterbury. Kew covers northern parts of Boroondara local government area.

History
Kew has existed as a state electorate since the 1927 election, and it has always been held by the Liberal Party and its conservative predecessors.

In 1927, the seat was first won by independent candidate Wilfrid Kent Hughes. Kent Hughes, a former Olympic hurdler, had sought Nationalist preselection unsuccessfully before winning the seat as an independent, after which he rejoined the Nationalists.

Kent Hughes joined the new United Australia Party in 1931, and became the party’s deputy leader in the Victorian parliament in 1935. He served in that role until 1939, when he enlisted in the Army to fight in the Second World War. He was captured by the Japanese in Singapore in 1942 and spent the remainder of the war as a prisoner of war, all while continuing to serve as Member for Kew.

Kent Hughes served as Deputy Premier in the Liberal government from 1947 to 1949, when he resigned to take the federal electorate of Chisholm. He served as a minister in the Menzies federal government and as chairman of the Melbourne Olympic organising committee. He was dropped from the ministry following the 1956 Olympics, and he served as a backbencher until his death in 1970.

The 1949 Kew by-election was won by Arthur Rylah. The ALP gained power in Victoria in 1952, and in 1953 Rylah was elected as the party’s deputy leader. He became Deputy Premier when the Liberals won power in 1955, and served in that role until his retirement from Parliament in 1971.

The 1971 Kew by-election was won by the Liberal Party’s Rupert Hamer. He had previously served as an MLC for East Yarra province since 1958. A year later, Liberal Premier Henry Bolte retired, and Hamer became Premier of Victoria. Hamer served as Premier until 1981, when undermining by the conservative wing of the Liberal Party saw him resign as Premier, and then as Member for Kew. The Liberals lost the state election the next year.

The 1981 Kew by-election was won by Prue Sibree. She held the seat for the Liberal Party until her retirement in 1988. The 1988 Kew by-election was won by Jan Wade. She held the seat until her retirement in 1999.

Kew was won in 1999 by Andrew McIntosh. He was the first Member for Kew to gain the seat at a general election rather than a by-election since Kent Hughes had first won the seat in 1927.

McIntosh won re-elected in 2002, 2006 and 2010. He served as a minister in the Coalition government from 2010 until April 2013, when he resigned his portfolios after leaking confidential information to a journalist.

McIntosh retired at the 2014 election, and Liberal candidate Tim Smith was elected.

Candidates

Assessment
Kew is a safe Liberal seat.

2014 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Tim Smith Liberal 22,552 57.2 -3.4
James Matthew Gaffey Labor 10,448 26.5 +3.2
Lynn Frankes Greens 6,433 16.3 +1.9
Informal 1,691 4.1

2014 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Tim Smith Liberal 23,899 60.6 -5.0
James Matthew Gaffey Labor 15,510 39.4 +5.0

Booth breakdown

Booths in Kew have been divided into three areas: central, east and west.

The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 56% in the west to 61% in the east.

The Greens primary vote ranged from 12.3% in the east to 20.3% in the west.

Voter group GRN prim % LIB 2PP % Total votes % of votes
East 12.3 61.0 10,528 26.7
Central 17.3 59.7 7,585 19.2
West 20.3 56.0 6,481 16.4
Other votes 17.2 64.1 7,479 19.0
Pre-poll 16.5 61.8 7,360 18.7

Election results in Kew at the 2014 Victorian state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Greens primary votes.

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