NSW 2019 – Is Labor’s problem with migrants, or the Georges River?
One of the defining moments of the New South Wales election campaign was Labor leader Michael Daley's recorded comments from 2018 about people in Sydney being squeezed out by Asia migrants.
At the time there was speculation about how this would affect the Labor vote...
NSW 2019 – what about the upper house count?
The Legislative Council count is going to take a long time, and we are missing a lot of vital information we will need.
The main reason for this is the Electoral Commission's decision to only count the votes of seven big groups on election night...
NSW 2019 – the impact of minor parties on Labor and the Greens
It is far too early to assess the impact of any party on the upper house, in particular parties like Sustainable Australia and Keep Sydney Open who have not yet had a single one of their upper house votes counted. Even for other parties...
NSW 2019 – close race analysis
At the end of Saturday night I had a list of seven seats which I hadn't called. I have now done some further analysis with the extra votes that have reported today, and I am now ready to call a couple more seats and...
Podcast #21 – NSW election results
This morning I spoke to Osmond Chiu about the results of yesterday's NSW state election.
You can subscribe to this podcast using this RSS feed in your podcast app of choice, but should also be able to find this podcast by searching for “the Tally...
NSW 2019 – mapping the swings
This is the first of a number of blog posts I'll be rolling out over today and tomorrow.
I thought I'd start by attempting to map out the swings. This is a difficult task because quite a lot of votes (mostly pre-poll votes) haven't been...
NSW 2019 – election night live
11:35 - I'll leave this liveblog here. Sorry I wasn't around much, hopefully you found my posts at the Guardian. Apologies also if you had trouble accessing parts of the website. Hopefully it will be easy to access now. Unfortunately that's probably the reality...
NSW 2019 – election day
Polls have just opened across New South Wales. This post is just a placeholder and open thread to post comments during the day. I may post a few updates here if there are developments.
The final Newspoll was released last night, with the Coalition on...
NSW 2019 – what would a hung parliament be like?
You can treat this as an opportunity to post your last-minute election predictions.
There's a growing consensus that the most likely outcome in tomorrow's election is a hung parliament. That's certainly the opinion of the bookmakers.
But what would that hung parliament look like? The hung...
NSW 2019 – will we see “Just Vote 1” on Saturday?
New South Wales elections are different to the rest of Australia. In all other federal and state lower house elections featuring single-member electorates, we use compulsory preferential voting (CPV) - you need to number every box for your vote to count.
For NSW state elections,...