The Tally Room

The final polls of the campaign all told the same story - the LNP leading with 52% of the two-party-preferred vote over Labor. This is certainly not what happened - in the seats where Labor and the LNP came in the top two, Labor...

Rather than editing the original post, I've decided to post each morning covering the counting in key seats over the previous day. Yesterday, I identified Ferny Grove, Glass House, Mansfield, Maryborough, Mount Ommaney, Redlands and Whitsunday as seats worth watching. I've now also added Gaven...

TLDR - Yes, she could, but it's going to be close. On Saturday night, it was a minor story that Pauline Hanson had polled quite highly in the south-east Queensland seat of Lockyer, winning 27.3% of the primary vote, ahead of Labor but 6% behind...

I've identified seven seats that I think are close enough to be worth discussing. Excluding these seven, Labor holds 42 seats, the LNP holds 37, and three are held by KAP and an independent. In order to win a majority, the ALP would need to...

In between today's election posts, I wanted to let you know that I joined the Election Nerds radio show on election night. The show was taped at 2SER in Sydney, and while it is normally broadcast on 2SER, it was broadcast across the Community Radio...

The results of the Queensland election varied substantially between the various regions of Queensland. Labor last won an election in 2009, when they won a small but solid majority of 51 seats. It now appears that Labor has won around 43-46 seats at the 2015...

This is the first in a series of wrap-up posts. I will also devote a post to going in-depth in the undecided seats, as well as a regional breakdown of the vote, and a look at how preferences flowed, over the course of today...

11:52pm - Just to be clear, that's it from me tonight. As it currently stands, the ALP holds 44 seats, needing one more to form a majority. There are three seats undecided. Labor leads the LNP in Whitsunday, and the LNP leads Labor in...

There's a lot going on in Queensland today, so here's a fresh blogpost to tide you over until polls close. There are multiple reports of voters being turned away due to a lack of ID (which shouldn't stop them from voting), the LNP is...

Polls have just opened in Queensland for election day. We now have three major polling companies giving us the same figures for the statewide two-party-preferred vote: Galaxy, Reachtel and Newspoll are all giving the LNP 52% and ALP 48%. If those numbers are true, the...