How preferences flow between Greens and Labor
This blog post was inspired by some discussion about the race in the seat of Lismore. Labor candidate Janelle Saffin came second in 2019,...
NSW 2023 – 2PP preference flows by party under OPV
In yesterday's blog post, I looked at how many numbers voters tend to fill out on their ballot paper. Today I'm going to look...
How people fill out their ballots in NSW
In this blog post I'll be analysing how much people fill out their ballot paper, and how it differs between parties and based on...
NSW 2023 – where preferences have flowed over time
The New South Wales Legislative Assembly has been elected by the optional preferential voting (OPV) method since 1981. Unlike compulsory preferential voting (CPV) which...
Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election
The podcast is back, and Ben is joined by Rodney Smith from the University of Sydney and Michael McGowan from the Guardian to discuss...
When local council parties break into state politics
During the most recent NSW council elections, I wrote repeatedly about how party systems for local councils are not the same as the state...
The non-classic dimension in NSW
There are 93 seats in the NSW Legislative Assembly. While a majority of these seats will be straight-out contests between Labor and the Coalition,...
Rise of the minor parties, NSW edition
I have previously written about the decline in the total vote for the major parties at federal elections and Victorian state elections, and there...
The starting point in NSW
As we commence the NSW state election campaign, there's a bit of confusion about how many seats we should credit to each party as...
NSW 2023 – rising preference flows deciding the upper house
When results are reported for the NSW upper house, generally there's an expectation that the primary votes mostly tell us who will win. That's...