Geelong – Victoria 2018

ALP 6.0%

Incumbent MP
Christine Couzens, since 2014.

Geography
Inner suburbs of Geelong. Geelong covers the Geelong city centre, as well as the suburbs of Belmont, Fyansford, Manifold Heights, Newcomb and St Albans Park.

History
There has been an electoral district named Geelong in the Legislative Assembly for most of the Assembly’s existence. It existed as a four-member district from 1856 to 1859, then as a three-member district from 1877 to 1889, then as a two-member district from 1889 to 1904.

The single-member district existed from 1904 until 1976, and again since 1985. The seat long alternated between Labor and the Liberal/Nationalist parties. Since 1952 it has always been held by the party in government.

The newly created seat of Geelong was won in 1985 by the ALP’s Hayden Shell. He had held the seat of Geelong West since 1982. He held Geelong until 1992, when he was defeated by Ann Henderson of the Liberal Party.

Henderson was re-elected in 1996, but in 1999 she narrowly lost to the ALP’s Ian Trezise, who won a 0.03% margin, after gaining a 3.5% swing.

Trezise won re-election three more times, and retired in 2014. Labor’s Christine Couzens won Geelong that year.

Candidates

Assessment
Geelong is a marginal Labor seat, but would require a large swing for the Liberal Party to gain the seat.

2014 result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Christine Couzens Labor 16,51641.0-1.3
Paula Kontelj Liberal 15,23237.8-2.3
Bruce Lindsay Greens 4,83312.0+1.2
Pedro PeganShooters And Fishers1,0212.5+2.5
Ruth ClarkFamily First9622.4+0.3
Douglas James MannIndependent6591.6+1.6
Tony LeenCountry Alliance5641.40.0
Sarah HathwaySocialist Alliance4681.2+0.9
Informal2,0204.8

2014 two-party-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Christine Couzens Labor 22,55656.0+2.1
Paula Kontelj Liberal 17,69944.0-2.1

Booth breakdown

Booths in Geelong have been divided into three parts: East, North and South. Those polling places in ‘South’ covers the area around Belmont on the south side of the river.

Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 53.9% in the north-west to 64.6% in the east.

The Greens primary vote ranged from 9.3% in the east to 15% in the north-west.

Voter groupGRN prim %ALP 2PP %Total votes% of votes
North-West15.053.910,11025.1
East9.364.67,75419.3
South-West12.657.44,67211.6
Other votes11.554.36,97117.3
Pre-poll11.253.010,74826.7

Election results in Geelong at the 2014 Victorian state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Greens primary votes.

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Ben Raue is the founder and author of the Tally Room.If you like this post, please consider donating to support the Tally Room.