USA 2012: Result prediction


Election results are expected to start coming in late on Wednesday morning, Australian time. I thought it would be interesting to put cards on the table and make a prediction about the result.

Real Clear Politics has a ‘create your own map’ tool where you can change each state and make a prediction about the result. You can then grab a link to your map and post it in comments below.

In my prediction, I’m assuming that all the ‘safe states’ apart from eight I identified in yesterday’s post go as predicted.

I have given Obama Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire and Virginia. I’m predicting that Romney will only win Florida and Colorado. This produces an electoral vote breakdown of 294 for Obama and 244 for Romney.

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