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I saw on Instagram yesterday that Nelson Savanh will be the LNP’s candidate for Ferny Grove.
I seem to recall Savanh was the leader of the Young LNP back when Barclay McGain was publicly disgracing himself. Can’t see the LNP overcoming a 10% margin here unless it’s a truly catastrophic election for Labor.
Especially considering that Savanh said “good stuff” to a racist video.
Labor had a very bad result Brisbane City council election result at the Gap. They failed to even finish in the two party preferred vote. How much relevant is to this seat is hard to say. Mark Furner has built up a good buffer, but you would say on current polling this seat is probably vulnerable to the LNP. The Greens may get a spike to their vote here too, but reaching the two party preferred vote is out of the question.
Greens will need to keep up a profile here to retain Ryan. Worth a proper attempt at the seat.
@ John This is the most middle class part of Ryan and the weakest part for the Greens. Even in Ryan, Labor out-polled the Greens in this part.
@Nimalan same as Moggill.
At one point Moggill was the only Liberal seat in Brisbane.
Halfway decent chance it flips I suppose but much like Stafford, Labor doesn’t have the tiniest chance of retaining government if they can’t win ferny grove relatively easily anyway.
@ Nether Portal
I agree that Moggill that is weaker for the Greens but the difference compared to Ferny Grove is that it extremely weak for Labor more so than the Greens. So the Greens easily outpoll Labor in Mogill part of Ryan. I am interested to see if the Greens make the 2CP in the State electorate of Mogill in October.