Moncrieff – Australia 2019

LNP 14.6%

Incumbent MP
Steven Ciobo, since 2001.

Geography
Moncrieff covers the central part of the Gold Coast, covering the coast from Miami to Paradise Waters and Southport, and as far inland as Nerang.

Redistribution
Moncrieff expanded to take in Molendinar from Fadden. This cut the LNP margin from 14.9% to 14.6%.

History
Moncrieff was first created at the 1984 election, and has always been held by the Liberal (National) Party.

The seat was first won in 1984 by Kathy Sullivan, who had been a Queensland senator since 1974. Sullivan held the seat until 2001, serving continuously in Parliament for 27 years, a record for any female parliamentarian. She served two brief terms in the Opposition shadow ministry in the 1980s and 1990s, and served as a Parliamentary Secretary in the Howard government from 1997 to 2000.

Sullivan was succeeded in 2001 by Steven Ciobo. Ciobo has been elected in Moncrieff six times.

Candidates
No information.

Assessment
Moncrieff is a safe LNP seat.

2016 result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Steven Ciobo Liberal National 50,68859.0+3.358.4
Hayden Sheppard Labor 20,95624.4+3.624.6
Roger Brisbane Greens 8,69710.1+3.710.1
Julie RoseFamily First5,6196.5+4.46.5
Others0.5
Informal4,0114.5

2016 two-party-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Steven Ciobo Liberal National 55,82464.9-3.064.6
Hayden Sheppard Labor 30,13635.1+3.035.4

Booth breakdown

Booths have been divided into three areas: east, north and west.

The LNP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 59.1% in the west to 67.2% in the east.

The Greens primary vote ranged from 8.7% in the west to just under 12% in the east and north.

Voter groupGRN prim %LNP 2PP %Total votes% of votes
East11.767.218,73921.0
North11.659.815,25017.1
West8.759.114,01315.7
Other votes9.965.914,85716.6
Pre-poll8.967.726,44229.6

Election results in Moncrieff at the 2016 federal election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Greens primary votes.


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