Girrawheen – WA 2013

ALP 6.7%

Incumbent MP
Margaret Quirk, since 2001.

 

Map of Girrawheen’s 2008 and 2013 boundaries. 2008 boundaries appear as red line, 2013 boundaries appear as white area. Click to enlarge.

Geography
Outer north of Perth. Most of the seat lies on the eastern side of the Mitchell Freeway, including the suburbs of Darch, Girrawheen, Lansdale, Madeley and parts of Hamersley and Warwick. Most of the seat lies at the southern end of the City of Wanneroo.

Redistribution
Girrawheen shifted significantly to the north, gaining Madeley, Darch and Lansdale from Wanneroo and West Swan. The seat lost Balga and parts of Hamersley and Warwick to Balcatta and Mirrabooka. This cut Girrawheen’s margin from 11.5% to 6.7%.

History
Girrawheen was created at the 1996 election as a safe Labor seat in northern Perth.

The seat was first won by Ted Cunningham, who had held other seats for Labor since 1988.

After one term, the seat was won in 2001 by Margaret Quirk. She was appointed to the ministry after the 2005 election and has served as a shadow minister since the 2008 election.

The ALP’s margin was 12.6% at the first election in 1996, which increased at the 2001 and 2005 elections to a peak of 23.4%. The seat’s margin fell back to a reasonably safe 11.5% margin in 2008, which has been cut in half by the recent redistribution.

Candidates

Assessment
Girrawheen would normally be considered safe, but the redistribution will make the seat more interesting. The seat’s reduced margin could be vulnerable to a large Liberal swing, particularly considering the large part of the seat in which Margaret Quirk will not benefit from a personal vote.

Despite these factors, it is unlikely that the Liberal Party will be able to win in Girrawheen.

2008 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Margaret Quirk ALP 9,155 51.1 +0.8
John Halligan LIB 6,109 34.1 +11.5
Tamara Desiatov GRN 2,658 14.8 +9.3

2008 two-candidate-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Margaret Quirk ALP 11,014 61.5 -7.6
John Halligan LIB 6,905 38.5 +7.6

 

Polling booths in Girrawheen at the 2008 WA state election. North in blue, Central in green, South in orange.

Booth breakdown
Booths have been divided into three parts: north, central and south. Those booths in the northern part of the seat are new additions after the recent redistribution.

The ALP’s vote varied in 2008 from 54.4% in the centre, to 41% in the north. The Liberal vote peaked at 44% in the north and was lowest at just under 32% in the centre of the seat. The Greens vote varied from 15.6% in the south to 7.2% in the north.

Voter group ALP % LIB % GRN % Total votes % of ordinary votes
North 40.99 44.11 7.21 5,989 38.11
Central 54.35 31.96 13.69 5,310 33.79
South 49.22 35.18 15.60 4,417 28.11
Other votes 51.37 34.13 14.49 3,457

Labor primary votes in Girrawheen at the 2008 WA state election.

Liberal primary votes in Girrawheen at the 2008 WA state election.

Greens primary votes in Girrawheen at the 2008 WA state election.