LNP 5.9%
Incumbent MP
Scott Emerson, since 2009.
Geography
Brisbane. Indooroopilly is the only seat that crosses the Brisbane River, covering inner western suburbs on both sides of the river, specifically Chelmer, Graceville, Tennyson, Sherwood, Fig Tree Pocket, Indooroopilly, Taringa and St Lucia.
History
The seat of Indooroopilly has existed since 1992. The seat was held by the Liberal Party from 1992 to 2001, then by the ALP from 2001 to 2008. In 2008 the sitting member joined the Greens, and in 2009 he lost to the LNP.
The seat was first won in 1992 by former Liberal leader Denver Beanland. He had held the seat of Toowong since 1986, and had been leader of the Liberal Party until 1991.
Beanland served as Attorney-General from 1996 to 1998, and lost his seat in 2001.
Ronan Lee won Indooroopilly for the ALP in 2001. He was re-elected in 2004 and 2006, and was appointed as a Parliamentary Secretary after the 2006 election.
In 2008, Lee resigned from the ALP and joined the Greens. He contested Indooroopilly for the Greens in 2009. The seat was the best result for the Greens in the state, but Lee’s vote was much lower than he had won in past elections as the Labor candidate. Lee narrowly missed out on coming in the top two, and the seat was won by the LNP’s Scott Emerson.
Candidates
Sitting Liberal National MP Scott Emerson is running for re-election. The Greens are running Charles Worringham.
- Oscar Schlamowitz (Labor)
- Andrew Mooney (Family First)
- Charles Worringham (Greens)
- Scott Emerson (Liberal National)
Political situation
The seat of Indooroopilly should be safely retained by Emerson for the LNP.
2009 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Scott Emerson | LNP | 11,570 | 44.5 | +2.3 |
| Sarah Warner | ALP | 6,907 | 26.5 | -14.4 |
| Ronan Lee | GRN | 6,749 | 25.9 | +9.0 |
| John Burkett | DSQ | 802 | 3.1 | +3.1 |
2009 two-candidate-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Scott Emerson | LNP | 12,891 | 55.9 | +8.6 |
| Sarah Warner | ALP | 10,184 | 44.1 | -8.6 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Indooroopilly have been divided into three areas. Booths on the southern side of the river have been grouped as Graceville. Booths close to the river on the northern side have been grouped as Indooroopilly. Booths further north have been grouped as Toowong.
The LNP outpolled the ALP and the Greens by a substantial margin in all three areas, with the LNP varying from 46.3% in Indooroopilly to 43.2% in Graceville. The ALP outpolled the Greens in Graceville (by 1.2%) and Toowong (by 0.3%), while the Greens outpolled the ALP by 0.6% in Indooroopilly.
Polling booths in Indooroopilly at the 2009 state election. Toowong in blue, Indooroopilly in green, Graceville in orange.
| Voter group | LNP % | ALP % | GRN % | Total votes | % of votes |
| Indooroopilly | 46.3 | 25.0 | 25.6 | 7,618 | 29.3 |
| Graceville | 43.2 | 27.4 | 26.2 | 6,631 | 25.5 |
| Toowong | 44.0 | 26.5 | 26.2 | 5,385 | 20.7 |
| Other votes | 43.9 | 27.5 | 25.9 | 6,394 | 24.6 |
Liberal National primary votes in Indooroopilly at the 2009 state election.
Labor primary votes in Indooroopilly at the 2009 state election.
Greens primary votes in Indooroopilly at the 2009 state election.
With Lee out of the picture, who thinks the Green vote will stay where it is or drop? I think it will drop, if only by a small amount.
This will be an interesting seat to watch on the night. While there is little doubt that Scott Emerson will hold on the big question will be how much of a swing he will get. Looking at the primary votes here the left got above 50% split between the ALP and Greens. This could be one of those seats that falls well below the statewide swing.
From Poll Bludger: Labor are running “20-year-old Oscar Schlamowitz”, one of a bundle of ALP candidates who were born when Wayne Goss was premier. With confidence like that, they could finish third here if the Greens hang onto most of Lee’s vote and/or the Libs take a lot more of Labor’s vote. I can’t imagine it’d go to preferences.
My prediction: LNP retain, and as Bird of paradox has pointed out, a chance of Labor finishing third here.
In the 2010 by-election for the city ward of Walter Taylor after the last federal election (the sitting councilor was elected to the lower house), the Greens were placed comfortably 2nd, nearly 6% ahead of Labor, and Labor had a more convincing candidate that time. The ward has a substantial overlap with the state seat and the Greens have a good candidate. Since Labor can’t win, there’s every incentive for voters of a progressive bent to vote 1 Greens — not only to support the Greens candidate, but to protest about the drift of the Qld Labor government.
LNP retain with Labor finishing third behind the Greens.