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The Libs talked about picking up this seat. Instead they have made this one of the safest seats for Labor in the state. It’s the safest it has ever been on these boundaries. Extremely laughable result with a shockingly poor choice of candidate. It’s almost as if the more they campaigned the more voters turned to Labor.
Poor candidate and poor performance at the campaign contributed to that. Libs can probably still win this but probably not until 2031 at least now.
I also think Julian Hill is a popular MP with a big personal vote. He is one of the best communicators in the Labor Party in my opinion and really has a way of cutting through with his messages.
Another point i would make that the South East is not where there is a lot of Grivance about being neglected like in NW Melbourne so i dont even know in hindsight why people thought it was in play. Libs would not have won this seat on current boundaries in 2004 and 2013 which were Libs best result this century at a Federal level. They may have won Bruce on current boundaries in 1990. However, this area is rapidly diversifying with a growth in the Afghan community which did not exist in the 1990s. So even if Libs were headed to another 2013 result i dont know why people think Bruce on the current boundaries would have been won especially as it is trending Labor demographically with growth in Muslims.