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I wonder how well a more generic NAT candidate does here? Seems there is now a pretty strong local branch and my Labor friends seemed privately pleased that Chesters nearly got knocked off and seem to think she’s potentially going to get tapped on the shoulder.
If this becomes an open race in 2028 Labor will struggle to hold here.
Labor was caught off guard this year by a hyper-local Nationals campaign that swung the seat hard whilst the Liberals played dead. It’s quite likely Labor will throw everything towards Bendigo in 2028 and won’t give up without a fight.
It’s also quite possible that Bendigo might end up being the Gilmore circa 2025 in 2028. Everyone expected them to lose only for the incumbent to increase their margin significantly.