- Josh Morris (Liberal), since 2014
- Jaala Pulford (Labor), since 2006
- James Purcell (Local Jobs), since 2014
- Simon Ramsay (Liberal), since 2010
- Gayle Tierney (Labor), since 2006
|Bellarine||ALP 4.8%||Lowan||NAT 21.3%||South Barwon||LIB 2.9%|
|Buninyong||ALP 6.4%||Melton||ALP 11.2%||South-West Coast||LIB 11.0%|
|Geelong||ALP 6.0%||Polwarth||LIB 10.6%||Wendouree||ALP 5.8%|
|Lara||ALP 17.1%||Ripon||LIB 0.8%|
Western Victoria covers the greater Geelong region and stretches west to the South Australian border. In addition to Geelong, the region covers Ballarat, Warrnambool, Horsham, Colac, Bacchus Marsh, Melton and Torquay.
Six of the seats in the region are held by Labor, four are held by the Liberal Party, and one is held by the Nationals.
The Western Victoria region was created in 2006, when proportional representation was introduced.
At the 2006 election, the Liberal Party and Labor each won two seats, and the fifth seat was won by the Democratic Labor Party’s Peter Kavanagh. The Nationals ran a separate ticket from the Liberal Party, which was unsuccessful.
In 2010, Kavanagh lost his seat to Nationals candidate David O’Brien, who was running on a joint ticket with the Liberal Party.
O’Brien lost in 2014 to James Purcell, running on the Vote 1 Local Jobs ticket.
|Palmer United Party||11,704||2.7||+2.7||0.1605|
|Shooters and Fishers||10,028||2.3||+2.3||0.1375|
|Democratic Labour Party||6,694||1.5||+1.5||0.0918|
|Vote 1 Local Jobs||5,621||1.3||+1.3||0.0771|
Labor and Liberal each won two seats on primary votes.
We can fast forward to the last nine candidates running for the last seat:
- Lloyd Davies (GRN) – 0.5951 quotas
- Jayden Millard (SXP) – 0.2497
- David O’Brien (NAT) – 0.2152
- Mark Farrell (DLP) – 0.1977
- Catriona Thoolen (LDP) – 0.1602
- Mark Thompson (VFW) – 0.1589
- Nicole Bourman (SFP) – 0.1422
- James Purcell (VLJ) – 0.1335
- Barry Newton (FF) – 0.1246
Family First preferences flowed to James Purcell of Vote 1 Local Jobs, pushing him from next in line for exclusion to third:
- Davies (GRN) – 0.5959
- Millard (SXP) – 0.2506
- Purcell (VLJ) – 0.2396
- O’Brien (NAT) – 0.2189
- Farrell (DLP) – 0.1997
- Thoolen (LDP) – 0.1616
- Thompson (VFW) – 0.1599
- Bourman (SFP) – 0.1430
Shooters and Fishers preferences pushed the LDP ahead of most of the pack:
- Davies (GRN) – 0.5965
- Thoolen (LDP) – 0.2916
- Millard (SXP) – 0.2527
- Purcell (VLJ) – 0.2413
- O’Brien (NAT) – 0.2208
- Farrell (DLP) – 0.2005
- Thompson (VFW) – 0.1608
Voice for the West preferences pushed the DLP into second place:
- Davies (GRN) – 0.5973
- Farrell (DLP) – 0.3528
- Thoolen (LDP) – 0.2919
- Millard (SXP) – 0.2533
- Purcell (VLJ) – 0.2417
- O’Brien (NAT) – 0.2222
Nationals preferences pushed Purcell back in front of the DLP and LDP:
- Davies (GRN) – 0.5986
- Purcell (VLJ) – 0.4376
- Farrell (DLP) – 0.3556
- Thoolen (LDP) – 0.2936
- Millard (SXP) – 0.2546
Sex Party preferences split between the Greens and Vote 1 Local Jobs:
- Davies (GRN) – 0.6993
- Purcell (VLJ) – 0.5764
- Farrell (DLP) – 0.3569
- Thoolen (LDP) – 0.2959
LDP preferences split between the Greens and the DLP, but the DLP remained in last place:
- Davies (GRN) – 0.8495
- Purcell (VLJ) – 0.5792
- Farrell (DLP) – 0.4874
DLP preferences overwhelmingly favoured Purcell over the Greens, electing him to the last seat:
- Purcell (VLJ) – 1.0330
- Davies (GRN) – 0.8516
- Farrell (DLP) – 0.0229
James Purcell won the last seat thanks to a very fortuitous flow of preferences. It will be hard for this to happen again, so he’d likely need a big boost in primary votes to increase his chances.
Labor and the Coalition would both be aspiring to win a third seat at Purcell’s expense.
The Liberal/Nationals ticket topped the primary vote across the region, with Labor not far behind. The Coalition topped the poll in seven districts, while Labor topped the poll in the four most urban seats.
The Coalition generally did better in the more rural seats, while Labor did best in Geelong and in the semi-urban seats between Geelong and Melbourne.
Results of the 2014 Victorian upper house election in the Western Victoria region