- Mark Gepp (Labor), since 2017
- Wendy Lovell (Liberal), since 2006. Previously MLC for North East 2002-2006
- Luke O’Sullivan (Nationals), since 20161
- Jaclyn Symes (Labor), since 2014
- Daniel Young (Shooters, Fishers and Farmers), since 2014
1Luke O’Sullivan replaced Damian Drum on 13 October 2016 following Damian Drum’s resignation.
|Benambra||LIB 9.7%||Euroa||NAT 14.5%||Ovens Valley||NAT 16.6%|
|Bendigo East||ALP 5.0%||Macedon||ALP 3.8%||Shepparton||IND 2.6% vs NAT|
|Bendigo West||ALP 12.2%||Mildura||NAT 8.0% vs IND||Yan Yean||ALP 3.7%|
|Eildon||LIB 3.8%||Murray Plains||NAT 22.4%|
Northern Victoria covers a large area stretching from the South Australian border to Wodonga along the Murray River, as well as including the northern fringe of Melbourne. The electorate covers the main centres of Bendigo, Mildura, Swan Hill, Wodonga and Shepparton.
The Nationals and Labor each hold four seats in the region. The Liberal Party holds two seats, and one is held by an independent.
The Northern Victoria region was created in 2006, when proportional representation was introduced.
The region produced the same result at both the 2006 and 2010 elections: two Labor, two Liberal and one National.
The Liberal Party lost their second seat to the Shooters and Fishers party in 2014.
|Democratic Labour Party||18,183||4.2||+2.6||0.2493|
|Shooters and Fishers||15,303||3.5||+3.5||0.2098|
|Palmer United Party||12,631||2.9||+2.9||0.1732|
|Rise Up Australia||2,743||0.6||+0.6||0.0376|
On primary votes, the Liberal/Nationals ticket won two seats, and Labor won one.
Let’s fast forward to the last ten candidates running for the last two seats:
- Jaclyn Symes (ALP) – 0.5762 quotas
- Jenny O’Connor (GRN) – 0.4659
- Amanda Millar (LIB) – 0.4615
- Charlie Crutchfield (SXP) – 0.3210
- Gerard Murphy (DLP) – 0.2511
- Daniel Young (SFP) – 0.2305
- Robert Danieli (ACA) – 0.1853
- Alan Howard (FF) – 0.1773
- Hans Paas (PUP) – 0.1758
- Tim Wilms (LDP) – 0.1442
LDP preferences flowed to the Country Alliance, pushing them into fourth place:
- Symes (ALP) – 0.5765
- O’Connor (GRN) – 0.4666
- Millar (LIB) – 0.4631
- Danieli (ACA) – 0.3225
- Crutchfield (SXP) – 0.3215
- Murphy (DLP) – 0.2516
- Young (SFP) – 0.2311
- Howard (FF) – 0.1779
- Paas (PUP) – 0.1761
Palmer United preferences flowed to the Shooters and Fishers, pushing Young from seventh to fourth.
- Symes (ALP) – 0.5773
- O’Connor (GRN) – 0.4677
- Millar (LIB) – 0.4640
- Young (SFP) – 0.3954
- Danieli (ACA) – 0.3239
- Crutchfield (SXP) – 0.3235
- Murphy (DLP) – 0.2529
- Howard (FF) – 0.1795
Family First preferences went to the Country Alliance, pushing Danieli into second place:
- Symes (ALP) – 0.5783
- Danieli (ACA) – 0.4840
- O’Connor (GRN) – 0.4688
- Millar (LIB) – 0.4683
- Young (SFP) – 0.3973
- Crutchfield (SXP) – 0.3249
- Murphy (DLP) – 0.2558
DLP preferences also flowed to the Country Alliance, pushing Danieli into the lead:
- Danieli (ACA) – 0.7179
- Symes (ALP) – 0.5806
- O’Connor (GRN) – 0.4713
- Millar (LIB) – 0.4704
- Young (SFP) – 0.4001
- Crutchfield (SXP) – 0.3306
Sex Party preferences mostly flowed to the Shooters, with some going to the Greens:
- Danieli (ACA) – 0.7207
- Young (SFP) – 0.6088
- Symes (ALP) – 0.5832
- O’Connor (GRN) – 0.5756
- Millar (LIB) – 0.4714
Liberal preferences mostly flowed to the Shooters, electing Young. His small surplus flowed to Danieli, leaving this count:
- Young (SFP) – 1.0000
- Danieli (ACA) – 0.7645
- Symes (ALP) – 0.5855
- O’Connor (GRN) – 0.5833
The Greens’ O’Connor was excluded, with most of her preferences flowing to Labor.
- Symes (ALP) – 1.1069
- Young (SFP) – 1.0000
- Danieli (ACA) – 0.7699
- O’Connor (GRN) – 0.0083
The Shooters, Fishers and Farmers will require favourable preferences, or a big boost in their primary vote, to hold on to their seat. The Coalition would be hoping to regain their third seat.
The Liberal/Nationals ticket topped the primary vote across the region, and they also topped the poll in ten out of eleven districts.
Labor topped the primary vote in Bendigo West.
The Liberal/Nationals vote was strongest at the western end, in the seats of Mildura and Murray Plains.
Labor’s vote was strongest in Bendigo East and Bendigo West, and generally better closer to Melbourne.
The Greens vote was also higher closer to Melbourne.
Results of the 2014 Victorian upper house election in the Northern Victoria region