LIB 7.6%
Incumbent MP
Neale Burgess, since 2006.
Geography
South-eastern fringe of Melbourne, including the northern and western shores of Western Port. The seat covers Hastings, Tooradin, Somerville, Cranbourne South and French Island, in the cities of Casey and Frankston, and Mornington Peninsula Shire.
History
The electoral district of Hastings was created in 2002. At the time it was considered to have a notional Liberal margin of 7.3%, but was won in 2002 by the ALP candidate, Rosy Buchanan, who won the seat with 50.85% of the vote.
In 2006, a small swing to the Liberal Party saw Buchanan defeated by Neale Burgess. Burgess was re-elected in 2010 and 2014.
Candidates
- Nathan Lesslie (Greens)
- Simon Meyer (Labor)
- Neale Burgess (Liberal)
- Georgia Knight (Animal Justice)
Assessment
Hastings is a reasonably safe Liberal seat.
2014 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Neale Burgess | Liberal | 21,316 | 51.2 | -1.7 |
| Steven Hosking | Labor | 13,109 | 31.5 | -0.7 |
| Derek Fagan | Greens | 3,096 | 7.4 | +0.4 |
| Robert Andersson | Independent | 2,133 | 5.1 | +5.1 |
| Scot Leslie | Country Alliance | 940 | 2.3 | +0.8 |
| Colin Robertson | Rise Up Australia | 697 | 1.7 | +1.7 |
| Paul Madigan | Independent | 343 | 0.8 | +0.8 |
| Informal | 2,608 | 5.9 |
2014 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Neale Burgess | Liberal | 24,036 | 57.6 | -2.0 |
| Steven Hosking | Labor | 17,657 | 42.4 | +2.0 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Hastings have been divided into three areas: Central, North and South.
The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 51.8% in the south to 59.4% in the centre.
| Voter group | LIB 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| Central | 59.4 | 10,744 | 25.8 |
| North | 56.9 | 10,249 | 24.6 |
| South | 51.8 | 4,335 | 10.4 |
| Other votes | 58.6 | 7,156 | 17.2 |
| Pre-poll | 58.4 | 9,150 | 22.0 |
Two-party-preferred votes in Hastings at the 2014 Victorian state election
My prediction: Liberal hold.