Lee – SA 2018

ALP 2.6%

Incumbent MP
Stephen Mullighan, since 2014.

Geography
Northern Adelaide. Lee covers the suburbs of Birkenhead, Exeter, Glanville, Grange, Semaphore Park, Seaton, Semaphore South, Tennyson, West Lakes, West Lakes Shore and Royal Park.

Redistribution
Lee shifted south, losing Peterhead, Ethelton and Semaphore (everything north of Bower Road) to Port Adelaide, and gaining Grange and the remainder of Seaton from Colton and Royal Park from Cheltenham.

History
Lee was created at the 1993 election. The seat was first won by the Liberal Party’s Joe Rossi in 1993, and was then won by the ALP’s Michael Wright in 1997.

Michael Wright was re-elected in 2002, 2006 and 2010. He served as a minister from 2002 to 2011.

Wright retired in 2014, and Labor’s Stephen Mullighan won Lee.

Candidates

Assessment
Lee is a reasonably marginal Labor seat, but the party should benefit from a new personal vote from their one-term MP.

2014 election result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Stephen Mullighan Labor 9,418 41.0 -5.8 42.3
Liz Davies Liberal 8,216 35.7 +1.5 40.3
Gary Johanson Independent 2,581 11.2 +11.2 6.5
Jo Seater Greens 1,794 7.8 -0.2 6.3
Denis Power Family First 686 3.0 -0.7 3.7
Melita Calone Independent 301 1.3 +1.3 0.8
Informal 861 3.6

2014 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Stephen Mullighan Labor 12,530 54.5 -3.2 52.6
Liz Davies Liberal 10,466 45.5 +3.2 47.4

Booth breakdown

Booths in Lee have been divided into three areas: east, north and south.

Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in two out of three areas, with 51.3% in the south and 58% in the east.

The Liberal Party achieved 52.3% in the north.

Voter group ALP 2PP % Total votes % of votes
South 51.3 7,173 32.0
North 47.7 5,799 25.9
East 58.0 4,076 18.2
Other votes 53.4 5,344 23.9

Two-party-preferred votes in Lee at the 2014 SA state election

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4 COMMENTS

  1. Just some housekeeping…

    Comments are disabled on Elder & Giles and the link to the profile for Mawson does not work.

    Compared to QLD, SA is so much different with the smaller electorates!

  2. My prediction: SA Best are putting in the hard yards in here… 50/50 either way, slight edge to Labor given the receding of the SA-Best tide.

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