LNP 8.5%
Incumbent MP
Fiona Simpson, since 1992.
Geography
Sunshine Coast. Maroochydore covers the central Sunshine Coast suburbs of Marcoola, Mudjimba, Twin Waters, Maroochydore, Alexander Headland and Mooloolaba.
History
The seat of Maroochydore was created in 1992, and has always been held by the same MP.
Fiona Simpson was elected as the National Party Member for Maroochydore in 1992, at the age of 27.
Simpson was re-elected in 1995 and 1998, and joined the opposition frontbench in 1998 after the National-Liberal coalition lost power. She has since won re-election in 2001, 2004, 2006, 2009 and 2012.
Simpson also served as Deputy Leader of the National Party from 2006 until the merger of the National Party with the Liberal Party to form the LNP in 2008.
Simpson served as Speaker of the Legislative Assembly from 2012 to 2015.
Candidates
- Gabrielle Unverzagt (Greens)
- Janet Creevey (Independent)
- Rod McCormack (One Nation)
- Tash Poole (Animal Justice)
- Mark Wadeson (Independent)
- Alison Smith (Labor)
- Fiona Simpson (Liberal National)
- Greg Searle (United Australia)
- John Connolly (Independent)
Assessment
Maroochydore is a safe LNP seat.
2017 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Fiona Simpson | Liberal National | 12,661 | 44.7 | -4.8 |
| Julie Mcglone | Labor | 7,157 | 25.2 | +1.2 |
| Cam Young | One Nation | 4,592 | 16.2 | +16.2 |
| Daniel Bryar | Greens | 3,936 | 13.9 | +1.4 |
| Informal | 1,101 | 3.7 |
2017 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Fiona Simpson | Liberal National | 16,587 | 58.5 | -1.8 |
| Julie Mcglone | Labor | 11,759 | 41.5 | +1.8 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Maroochydore have been divided into three areas: central, north and south.
The LNP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, with a vote ranging from 52.8% in the centre to 54.1% in the south.
| Voter group | ON prim | GRN prim | LNP 2PP | Total votes | % of votes |
| North | 16.9 | 17.5 | 53.5 | 6,167 | 21.8 |
| Central | 16.0 | 16.9 | 52.8 | 4,255 | 15.0 |
| South | 14.0 | 14.7 | 54.1 | 2,296 | 8.1 |
| Pre-poll | 16.7 | 10.0 | 64.1 | 10,634 | 37.5 |
| Other votes | 15.4 | 14.8 | 59.8 | 4,994 | 17.6 |
Election results in Maroochydore at the 2017 QLD state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for One Nation and the Greens.
Don’t see a change here but will be curious to see how GRN vs ONP go, as they are essentially feeders in this electorate for the respective ALP vs LNP.
Much longer term, if ONP fizzes out again and ALP on nose, it might bring the GRNs into for second place, but that’s very long term and can’t see this seat being lost by the LNP anytime soon. (Unless there is a Noosa effect…)
Prediction (August 2020): LNP Retain
Fiona Simpson works this seat very well. She held on during the Beattie landslides when Noosa went red and Nicklin was safely independent. I’d be surprised if anyone else has a chance while she remains the MP.
Politics Obsessed One Nation will not fizz out it will explode in to oblivion when electorate see through PH for what she really is. Even the parasitic hangers on eventually get fed up with her dictatorial management style.
She behaves like a magnet for four things:
?cameras,
?electoral commission funding,
?moronic voters who are overly opinionated and under informed and are intent on staying that way
?carpet bagging candidates
Andrew Jackson
Where do you think Mark Latham will take ON in NSW ?
John Connolly was the LNP candidate in Nicklin in 2012, but inevitably better known as coach of the Wallabies. Also Sunshine Coast councillor for an an overlapping ward, 2016-20. He’d get a few % just on name recognition.
Prediction: LNP Retain
LNP retain
LNP retain
Steven Wardhill wrote an article in the Courier Mail that the downside of the LNP having an outright rank and file vote for pre-selections is its hard to move MP’s along. Whether there not performers or they have outstayed their welcome. Fiona Simpson going around for another term after being in parliament for 28 years is an example of this. This really is not proving anything considering the LNP could use fresh talent.