Pine Rivers – QLD 2017

ALP 4.1%

Incumbent MP
Nikki Boyd, since 2015.

Geography
South-East Queensland. Pine Rivers covers southern parts of Moreton Bay LGA, including Strathpine, Bray Park, Warner Dayboro, Mount Nebo, Samford Village and Mt Pleasant, and parts of Lawnton.

Redistribution
Pine Rivers shifted south, gaining the rural areas including Samford Village, Highvale, Draper and Mount Nebo from Ferny Grove, while losing rural areas on its northern fringe to Kurwongbah and Glass House. The seat’s population is concentrated in the seat’s south-eastern corner, and in this area the seat lost Joyner to Kurwongbah and gained a small nearby area from Kurwongbah. These changes cut the Labor margin from 7.7% to 4.1%.

History
The seat of Pine Rivers first existed from 1972 to 1992. It was abolished in 1992 and restored in 2009. Ever since 1974 the seat has gone with the party of government.

Pine Rivers was held by the ALP’s Kenneth Leese from 1972 to 1974. The seat was held by Rob Akers from 1974 to 1983, when he lost to National candidate Yvonne Chapman. Chapman held the seat until her defeat in 1989. Chapman went on to serve as Mayor of Pine Rivers Shire from 1994 to 2008.

Margaret Woodgate won Pine Rivers for the ALP in 1989. When the seat was abolished in 1992 she moved to the seat of Kurwongbah. She served as a minister in the Goss government from 1995 to 1996. She retired in 1997.

Carolyn Male won the new seat of Glass House in 2001. She held the seat until 2009, when a redistribution changed the seat into a notional LNP seat. She then moved to the restored seat of Pine Rivers in 2009.

In 2012, Male retired, and Labor candidate Patrick Bulman lost to LNP candidate Seath Holswich.

Holswich lost to Labor’s Nikki Boyd in 2015.

Candidates

Assessment
Pine Rivers is a marginal Labor seat.

2015 election result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Nikki Boyd Labor 14,752 48.5 +21.1 44.4
Seath Holswich Liberal National 11,820 38.8 -14.1 41.0
John Marshall Greens 2,444 8.0 -0.4 9.9
Thor Prohaska Independent 1,419 4.7 +4.7 3.2
Palmer United Party 0.9
Others 0.6
Informal 651 2.1

2015 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Nikki Boyd Labor 16,953 57.7 +21.3 54.1
Seath Holswich Liberal National 12,440 42.3 -21.3 45.9
Exhausted 1,042 3.4

Booth breakdown

Booths in Pine Rivers have been divided into three areas: east, south and west.

The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in the most populous area, polling 65% in the east. The LNP won 51.6% in the west and 58.3% in the south.

The Greens came third, with a vote ranging from 7% in the east to almost 17% in the west.

Voter group GRN prim % ALP 2PP % Total votes % of votes
East 7.4 64.7 9,200 31.6
South 13.8 41.7 4,242 14.6
West 16.9 48.4 3,576 12.3
Other votes 8.3 54.3 12,065 41.5

Election results in Pine Rivers at the 2015 QLD state election
Click on the ‘visible layers’ box to toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Greens primary votes.

About the Author

Ben Raue is the founder and author of the Tally Room. If you like this post, please consider donating to support the Tally Room.