Noosa – QLD 2017

LNP 6.8%

Incumbent MP
Glen Elmes, since 2006.

Geography
Sunshine Coast. Noosa covers the northern Sunshinse Coast suburbs of Tewantin, Noosaville, Noosa Heads, Sunshine Beach, Castaways Beach, Marcus Beach and Peregian Beach, as well as Eumundi.

Redistribution
Noosa lost its southernmost area to Ninderry, including Eumundi, Doonan and Weyba Downs, and expanded west to take in Kin Kin, Cooran and Pomona from Gympie.


History

The seat of Noosa has existed since 1992. The seat was won by the Liberal Party from 1992 to 2001 and since 2006.

Bruce Davidson won the seat for the Liberal Party in 1992. Davidson served as a minister in the Borbidge government from 1996 to 1998.

In 2001, Davidson was defeated by ALP candidate Cate Molloy. Molloy was re-elected in 2004.

In 2006, Molloy came into conflict with her party when she came out against the government’s plans for a dam on the Mary River. She was disendorsed as the Labor candidate for Noosa, and resigned from the ALP to sit as an independent.

At the 2006 election, Molloy lost to the Liberal Party’s Glen Elmes. Elmes was re-elected as the LNP candidate in 2009, 2012 and 2015.

Candidates

Assessment
Noosa will probably remain in Liberal National hands, although the seat is one of the best in the state for the Greens, and they may well target the seat.

2015 election result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Glen Elmes Liberal National 15,455 48.6 -12.0 46.6
Joe Shlegeris Greens 6,789 21.4 +5.9 21.0
Mark Denham Labor 6,506 20.5 +8.0 21.0
Ian Woods Palmer United Party 3,023 9.5 +9.5 9.5
Katter’s Australian Party 1.8
Informal 681 2.1

2015 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Redist
Glen Elmes Liberal National 16,513 58.6 -16.8
Joe Shlegeris Greens 11,657 41.4 +16.8
Exhausted 3,603 11.3

Booth breakdown

Booths in Noosa have been divided into four areas: central, east, north and west.

The Liberal National Party won a majority after preferences in the east (51.7%) and the centre (55%). The north and the west straddled the former Gympie-Noosa boundary, and Labor and the Greens between them polled 55.6% of the vote after preferences in the west and 56.4% in the north.

The Liberal National primary vote ranged from 30% in the north to 44.7% in the east. The Greens vote ranged from 20% in the centre to almost 30% in the east.

The Labor vote ranged from 18% in the east, to around 25% in the centre and west.

 

Voter group LNP prim % GRN prim % ALP prim % LNP 2CP % Total votes % of votes
East 44.7 29.7 18.4 51.7 5,929 20.3
Central 43.4 20.1 25.0 55.2 4,000 13.7
West 30.9 22.0 25.4 44.4 2,647 9.1
North 30.3 26.1 22.7 43.6 683 2.3
Other votes 51.5 17.6 20.3 62.5 15,947 54.6

Election results in Noosa at the 2015 QLD state election
Click on the ‘visible layers’ box to toggle between LNP vs Greens/Labor two-candidate-preferred votes, Liberal National primary votes, Greens primary votes and Labor primary votes.

About the Author

Ben Raue is the founder and author of the Tally Room. If you like this post, please consider donating to support the Tally Room.