Lytton – QLD 2017

ALP 9.9%

Incumbent MP
Joan Pease, since 2015.

Geography
Eastern Brisbane. Lytton covers the Brisbane suburbs of Wynnum, Manly, Hemmant, Lota and part of Tingalpa, near Moreton Bay on the southern side of the Brisbane River.

Redistribution
Lytton expanded slightly at its south-western corner, taking in part of Tingalpa from Chatsworth. This change slightly increased the Labor margin from 9.8% to 9.9%.

History
The seat of Lytton has existed since 1972. In that time it has been held by only two MPs, who both have served as Deputy Premier in Labor governments.

Tom Burns won the seat in 1972. He served as Labor leader following the disastrous 1974 election, and led the party to an improved result in 1977, before stepping down as leader in 1978.

He was elected as Deputy Leader in 1984 and became Deputy Premier when the ALP won power in 1989. He retired as Deputy Premier and Member for Lytton in 1996.

The 1996 Lytton by-election was won by Paul Lucas. Lucas joined the ministry in 2004. In 2007 he became Deputy Premier.

In September 2011 he retired as Deputy Premier while continuing as Attorney-General, and then retired at the 2012 election.

In 2012, Labor candidate Daniel Cheverton lost to LNP candidate Neil Symes after a 13.8% swing. Symes lost in 2015 to Labor’s Joan Pease.

Candidates

Assessment
Lytton will likely remain in Labor hands.

2015 election result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Joan Pease Labor 14,368 49.0 +9.7 49.0
Neil Symes Liberal National 10,657 36.3 -7.3 36.5
Dave Nelson Greens 2,616 8.9 +0.8 8.9
Tamera Michel Independent 849 2.9 +2.9 2.7
Jamie Evans Independent 831 2.8 +2.8 2.7
Family First 0.2
Informal 564 1.9

2015 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Joan Pease Labor 16,754 59.8 +11.4 59.9
Neil Symes Liberal National 11,265 40.2 -11.4 40.1
Exhausted 1,302 4.4

Booth breakdown

Booths in Lytton have been divided into four areas: central, east, north and west.

The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all four areas, ranging from 56% in the east to 65% in the west.

Voter group ALP 2PP % Total votes % of votes
East 56.3 5,948 19.1
Central 61.4 5,752 18.5
North 62.8 5,132 16.5
West 65.2 2,155 6.9
Other votes 58.1 12,181 39.1

Two-party-preferred votes in Lytton at the 2015 QLD state election

6 COMMENTS

  1. Probably no one in Lytton who can afford to be an LNP Candidate. I recall Campbell Newman’s description of nominating as dropping in his cheque.

    Any LNP nominee is in effect donating his cheque to LNP with no hope of financial return.

    In a true market economy Supply and Demand rules. Possibly time for LNP to pay the nominee by cheque rather than expecting a cheque to nominate.

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