Hinchinbrook – QLD 2017

LNP 3.4%

Incumbent MP
Andrew Cripps, since 2006.

Geography
North Queensland. Covers the Queensland coastline north of Townsville. The seat covers southern parts of Cassoway Coast council area, all of Hinchinbrook, and northern parts of Townsville LGA. The seat covers Ingham, Cardwell, Alice River, and some of the northern beaches of Townsville.

Redistribution
Hinchinbrook shifted south, losing the coast between Tully and Innisfail to the new seat of Hill, and gaining an area around Alice River on the outskirts of Townsville from Thuringowa. These changes cut the LNP margin from 7.1% to 3.4%.


History
The seat of Hinchinbrook was first created in 1950, and has been held by the Country/National/Liberal National Party since 1960.

Marc Rowell won the seat for the National Party in 1989. He briefly served as a minister in the final months of the Borbidge coalition government in 1998.

Rowell retired in 2006, and was succeeded by Andrew Cripps. Cripps was re-elected in 2009, 2012 and 2015.

Candidates

Assessment
Hinchinbrook is a marginal LNP seat, and is a strong area for One Nation.

2015 election result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Andrew Cripps Liberal National 12,156 40.7 -3.4 38.3
Jesse Trecco-Alexander Labor 7,155 23.9 +7.4 27.4
Barry Barnes Katter’s Australian Party 5,224 17.5 -17.8 13.1
Martin Brewster Palmer United Party 3,029 10.1 +10.1 11.5
Bill Hankin One Nation 1,224 4.1 +4.1 5.4
Jenny Stirling Greens 1,101 3.7 +0.5 3.3
Others 0.6
Family First 0.4
Informal 520 1.7

2015 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Redist
Andrew Cripps Liberal National 14,354 57.1 53.4
Jesse Trecco-Alexander Labor 10,804 42.9 46.6
Exhausted 4,731 15.8

Booth breakdown

Booths in Hinchinbrook have been divided into three areas: central, north and south. Each area aligns with one of the three local government areas in the seat. A majority of ordinary votes were cast in the south.

The LNP won solid majorities of the two-party-preferred vote in the two less-populated parts of the seat: 59.6% in the centre and 65.6% in the north. Labor polled 52% in the populous south.

Katter’s Australian Party polled over 27% in the north, 22% in the centre and 9% in the south. The Palmer United Party polled 14% in the south and around 6% in the other two areas.

 

Voter group KAP prim % PUP prim % LNP 2PP % Total votes % of votes
South 9.0 14.2 48.0 11,796 44.8
Central 21.9 6.0 59.6 5,332 20.2
North 27.4 6.6 65.6 1,464 5.6
Other votes 10.6 12.3 56.3 7,763 29.5

Election results in Hinchinbrook at the 2015 QLD state election
Click on the ‘visible layers’ box to toggle between two-party-preferred votes, Katter’s Australian Party primary votes and Palmer United Party primary votes.

About the Author

Ben Raue is the founder and author of the Tally Room. If you like this post, please consider donating to support the Tally Room.