Greenslopes – QLD 2017

ALP 5.0%

Incumbent MP
Joe Kelly, since 2015.

Geography
South-East Brisbane. Greenslopes covers the Brisbane suburbs of Holland Park, Greenslopes and Holland Park West, and parts of Coorparoo, Camp Hill, Mount Gravatt and Carina.

Redistribution
Greenslopes shifted north, gaining the remainder of the suburb of Greenslopes from South Brisbane and part of Carina from Chatsworth, and losing Mount Gravatt East to Mansfield.


History
The seat of Greenslopes has existed since 1960. In that time the seat has always been won by a party of government.

The seat was won in 1960 by Liberal candidate Keith Hooper. He had previously held the seat of Buranda since 1957. He held Greenslopes until his death in 1977.

In 1977 the seat was won by Bill Hewitt. He had previously held the seat of Chatsworth for the Liberals since 1966. He was defeated in Greenslopes in 1983 by National Party candidate Leisha Harvey.

Harvey became a minister in the Ahern government in 1987. In 1989 she lost her seat to Labor candidate Gary Fenlon.

Fenlon was re-elected in 1992 before losing to Liberal candidate Ted Radke in 1995. Fenlon won the seat back off Radke in 1998. He then went on to be re-elected repeatedly in 2001, 2004 and 2006.

In 2009, Fenlon retired and was succeeded by Cameron Dick. The new member for Greenslopes was immediately promoted to cabinet and served first as Attorney-General and then as Minister for Education in the Bligh government.

In 2012, Cameron Dick was defeated by LNP candidate Ian Kaye. Kaye served one term, losing in 2015 to Labor’s Joe Kelly.

Candidates

Assessment
Greenslopes is a marginal Labor seat, although Labor could still lose the election comfortably and hold on to this seat.

2015 election result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Joseph Kelly Labor 12,077 42.4 +3.2 42.5
Ian Kaye Liberal National 12,013 42.2 -5.7 41.1
Darren Ellis Greens 3,682 12.9 +0.0 13.9
Matthew Darragh Family First 696 2.4 +2.4 2.0
Others 0.6
Informal 456 1.6

2015 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Joseph Kelly Labor 14,947 54.2 +6.7 55.0
Ian Kaye Liberal National 12,607 45.8 -6.7 45.0
Exhausted 914 3.2

Booth breakdown

Booths in Greenslopes have been divided into three areas: east, north and south.

The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 53% in the north to almost 63% in the east.

The Greens vote ranged from 12% in the south to 16% in the east.

Voter group GRN prim % ALP 2PP % Total votes % of votes
North 13.8 53.1 8,346 28.4
South 12.2 55.8 6,400 21.8
East 16.1 62.7 4,458 15.2
Other votes 14.2 53.6 10,151 34.6

Election results in Greenslopes at the 2015 QLD state election
Click on the ‘visible layers’ box to toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Greens primary votes.

About the Author

Ben Raue is the founder and author of the Tally Room. If you like this post, please consider donating to support the Tally Room.