Glass House – QLD 2017

LNP 0.9%

Incumbent MP
Andrew Powell, since 2009.

Geography
South-East Queensland. Glass House includes parts of Moreton Bay and Sunshine Coast council areas. It stretches from near Caboolture, as well as Elimbah, Beerburrum, Glass House Mountains, Eudlo, Palmwoods, Maleny, Woodford, Mount Mee and Conondale.

Redistribution
Glass House underwent some minor changes – losing an area near Caboolture to Pumicestone, while gaining areas south of Mount Mee from Pine Rivers and Morayfield. Glass House also gained the westernmost part of Nicklin on its northern border, and gained Mooloolah Valley from Caloundra. Finally Glass House lost its north-eastern corner to Nicklin. These changes cut the LNP margin from 1.4% to 0.9%.

History
The seat of Glass House has existed in its current form since 2001, although a seat with the same name existed from 1986 to 1992.

Carolyn Male first won the seat for the ALP in 2001. She was re-elected in 2004 and 2006, but the redistribution before the 2009 election made Glass House much harder for the ALP to win. Male instead ran in the new seat of Pine Rivers, and won that seat.

Glass House was won in 2009 by the LNP’s Andrew Powell. Powell was re-elected in 2012 and 2015.

Candidates

Assessment
Glass House is a very marginal seat. If Labor can gain this seat it will strengthen their hold on government.

2015 election result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Andrew Powell Liberal National 13,727 43.7 -12.1 43.9
Brent Hampstead Labor 9,587 30.5 +12.9 30.9
David Knobel Greens 4,511 14.4 -1.3 14.2
Scott Higgins Palmer United Party 3,570 11.4 +11.4 10.2
Others 0.7
Family First 0.1
Informal 700 2.2

2015 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Andrew Powell Liberal National 14,890 51.4 -19.0 50.9
Brent Hampstead Labor 14,074 48.6 +19.0 49.1
Exhausted 2,431 7.7

Booth breakdown

Booths in Glass House have been divided into three areas: central, north and south.

The LNP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in two out of three of these areas, polling 54% in the north and 52% in the centre, while Labor polled 50.4% in the south.

The Greens vote ranged from 9.7% in the south to 23% in the north, while the Palmer United vote ranged from 8% in the north to 11% in the centre and south.

Voter group PUP prim % GRN prim % LNP 2PP % Total votes % of votes
North 8.2 23.1 54.0 6,647 26.4
South 11.1 9.7 49.6 6,123 24.4
Central 10.8 13.0 52.2 3,098 12.3
Other votes 10.7 11.2 50.7 9,268 36.9

Two-party-preferred in Glass House at the 2015 QLD state election

About the Author

Ben Raue is the founder and author of the Tally Room. If you like this post, please consider donating to support the Tally Room.