Coomera – QLD 2017

LNP 5.8%

Incumbent MP
Michael Crandon, since 2009.

Geography
South-East Queensland. Coomera covers the northern Gold Coast suburbs of Steiglitz, Jacobs Well, Hope Island, Helensvale and parts of Coomera, Pimpama and Ormeau.

Redistribution
Coomera shifted west, taking in Upper Coomera, Luscombe, Ormeau, Ormeau Hills and Willowvale from Albert. Coomera lost the southern tip of the seat: Helensvale to Theodore and Hope Island to Broadwater. At its northern tip, Coomera lost Eagleby to MacAlister. These changes cut the LNP margin from 8.5% to 5.8%.


History

The seat of Coomera was created at the 2009 election out of parts of the Albert electorate, in the fast-growing corridor between Brisbane and the Gold Coast.

The seat was created with an 8.3% margin for the ALP, but a swing of over 10% saw the LNP’s Michael Crandon elected as the seat’s first MP. Crandon was re-elected in 2012 and 2015.

Candidates

Assessment
Coomera is a relatively safe LNP seat.

2015 election result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Michael Crandon Liberal National 16,916 50.5 -11.4 47.8
Brett Mccreadie Labor 10,377 31.0 +11.1 32.4
Shirley Morgan Palmer United Party 3,115 9.3 +9.3 9.8
Chris Wisbey Greens 1,834 5.5 -0.6 5.7
Cathy O’Brien Family First 1,236 3.7 +3.7 4.3
Family First 4.3
Informal 889 2.6

2015 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Michael Crandon Liberal National 18,018 58.5 -14.7 55.8
Brett Mccreadie Labor 12,766 41.5 +14.7 44.2
Exhausted 2,694 8.0

Booth breakdown

Booths in Coomera have been divided into three areas: central, north and south.

The LNP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 53.8% in the centre to 61.2% in the north.

The Palmer United Party came third, with a vote ranging from 9% in the north to 10.4% in the south.

Voter group PUP prim % LNP 2PP % Total votes % of votes
Central 9.8 53.8 7,434 35.6
South 10.4 57.3 3,901 18.7
North 9.0 61.2 1,818 8.7
Other votes 9.6 56.6 7,706 36.9

Election results in Coomera at the 2015 QLD state election
Click on the ‘visible layers’ box to toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Palmer United Party primary votes.

About the Author

Ben Raue is the founder and author of the Tally Room. If you like this post, please consider donating to support the Tally Room.