Broadwater – QLD 2017

LNP 16.3%

Incumbent MP
Verity Barton, since 2012.

Geography
Northern parts of the Gold Coast. The seat covers the suburbs of Hope Island, Biggera Waters, Runaway Bay, Coombabah and Paradise Point as well as South Stradbroke Island.

Redistribution
Broadwater shifted north, losing Labrador to Bonney and gaining Hope Island from Coomera. These changes increased the LNP margin from 7.2% to 16.3%.


History

The electorate of Broadwater was first created for the 1992 election. The seat was won by the National Party from 1992 to 2001, then by Labor from 2001 until 2012, when the LNP won the seat back.

At the first election in 1992 the seat was considered safe for the conservative parties and was fiercely contested by the Liberal Party and the National Party, with the National Party’s Allan Grice winning the seat.

Grice held the seat at the 1995 and 1998 elections, but was defeated in 2001 by the ALP’s Peta-Kaye Croft. Croft was re-elected in 2004, 2006 and 2009.

In 2012, Croft was defeated by Liberal National candidate Verity Barton, who easily knocked over Croft’s 2% margin with a 13.3% swing. Barton was re-elected in 2015.

Candidates

Assessment
Broadwater is a safe LNP seat.

2015 election result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Verity Barton Liberal National 13,537 47.5 -3.8 53.3
Penny Toland Labor 8,844 31.0 -0.6 27.2
Daniel Kwon Greens 2,145 7.5 +4.3 6.3
George Sokolov Palmer United Party 1,696 5.9 +6.0 6.3
Phil Pollock One Nation 1,061 3.7 +3.7 3.0
Stuart Ballantyne Family First 988 3.5 +1.6 3.2
Amin-Reza Javanmard Independent 252 0.9 +0.9 0.6
Informal 748 2.6

2015 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Verity Barton Liberal National 14,544 57.2 -4.1 66.3
Penny Toland Labor 10,885 42.8 +4.1 33.7
Exhausted 3,094 10.8

Booth breakdown

Booths in Broadwater have been divided into three areas: central, north and south.

The LNP won a majority of the two-candidate-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 50.5% in the centre to 73.7% in the north.

Voter group LNP 2CP % Total votes % of votes
North 73.7 6,150 25.3
South 59.8 5,441 22.4
Central 50.5 3,103 12.8
Other votes 61.0 9,569 39.4

Two-candidate-preferred votes in Broadwater at the 2015 QLD state election

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