Gregory – Queensland 2015

LNP 25.48%

Incumbent MP
Vaughan Johnson, since 1989.

Geography
Western Queensland. Gregory covers a large amount of the Queensland outback, covering a small part of the Queensland-South Australia border. Gregory covers the local government areas of Barcaldine, Barcoo, Blackall-Tambo, Central Highlands, Longreach, Quilpie and Woorabinda, and parts of Isaac. The seat covers the towns of Blackwater, Emerald, Barcaldine, Longreach, Clermont, Aramac, Rolleston, Blackall and Quilpie.

History
The seat of Gregory has existed continuously since 1878. The seat has been held by the Country/National/Liberal National party since 1957.

Wally Rae held the seat for the Country Party from 1957 to 1974. Bill Glasson of the National Party then held the seat from 1974 to 1989.

Vaughan Johnson won the seat for the National Party in 1989. He has held the seat ever since.

Candidates
Sitting Liberal National MP Vaughan Johnson is not running for re-election.

  • Bruce Currie (Independent)
  • Ross Stockham (Katter’s Australian Party)
  • Lachlan Millar (Liberal National)
  • Norm Weston (Greens)
  • Michael Linton-Helliar (Palmer United)
  • Cheryl Thompson (Labor)

Assessment
Gregory is a very safe LNP seat.

2012 election result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Vaughan Johnson Liberal National 13,399 59.10 -2.71
Jack O’Brien Labor 3,970 17.51 -16.00
Pauline Williams Katter’s Australian 3,855 17.00 +17
Bruce Currie Independent 831 3.67 +3.67
Norman Weston Greens 617 2.72 -1.96

2012 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Vaughan Johnson Liberal National 14,895 75.48 +11.22
Jack O’Brien Labor 4,840 24.52 -11.22
Polling places in Emerald at the 2012 Queensland state election. Central in blue, East in orange, West in green. Click to enlarge.
Polling places in Emerald at the 2012 Queensland state election. Central in blue, East in orange, West in green. Click to enlarge.

Booth breakdown
Booths in Gregory have been split into three parts: central, east and west. Most of the seat’s population lies in the Central Highlands council area, at the eastern edge of the seat. Booths in this area have been split into “central” and “east”, and remainder was grouped as “west”.

The Liberal National Party topped the primary vote, ranging from 43.6% in the east to 66.8% in the west.

Labor came second, ranging from 16.3% in the west to 26.8% in the east.

Katter’s Australian Party came third, with a vote ranging from 10.9% in the west to 23.2% in the east.

Voter group LNP prim % ALP prim % KAP prim % Total % of votes
Central 56.62 17.48 19.17 7,925 34.96
West 66.75 16.26 10.90 3,991 17.60
East 43.62 26.82 23.18 2,334 10.29
Other votes 62.10 15.55 16.15 8,422 37.15
Liberal National primary votes in Gregory at the 2012 Queensland state election.
Liberal National primary votes in Gregory at the 2012 Queensland state election.
Labor primary votes in Gregory at the 2012 Queensland state election.
Labor primary votes in Gregory at the 2012 Queensland state election.
Katter's Australian Party primary votes in Gregory at the 2012 Queensland state election.
Katter’s Australian Party primary votes in Gregory at the 2012 Queensland state election.
Liberal National primary votes in Emerald at the 2012 Queensland state election.
Liberal National primary votes in Emerald at the 2012 Queensland state election.
Labor primary votes in Emerald at the 2012 Queensland state election.
Labor primary votes in Emerald at the 2012 Queensland state election.
Katter's Australian Party primary votes in Emerald at the 2012 Queensland state election.
Katter’s Australian Party primary votes in Emerald at the 2012 Queensland state election.

6 COMMENTS

  1. Katter’s Australian Party Website shows Ross Stockham KAP candidate for Gregory. I have heard through CQ friends that he is working hard in Emerald. Posters UP meetings held and Branch formed.
    Andrew Jackson
    apjackson@hotkey.net.au

  2. Having lived in Gregory for the last two elections, I can confidently state that you could get a hybrid of Joh, Bob Menzies and John Howard to run for the ALP, and the locals would still vote the LNP guy in. Easy retain for the LNP, although the swing might be up to 10%, reflecting the loss of Johnson’s personal vote.

  3. What people don’t know is that Johnson has hurt a lot of people during his Parliamentarianship, both professionally and personally. A lot of people were happy to hear he was stepping down.

Comments are closed.