USA 2012: Are the toss-ups really that close?

Earlier today I blogged about how the number of battleground states has dwindled down to only eight states: Ohio, Florida, Virginia, Colorado, New Hampshire, Nevada, Iowa and Wisconsin. All eight of these states were won by Barack Obama in 2008. Two states won by Obama...

USA 2012: The shrinking middle

It's not new to write about the flaws of the electoral college: how it makes some states important and makes other states irrelevant, and how it produce perverse incentives in terms of policy. However what has become clear as we enter the final stretch...

USA 2012: one week to go

A week from now, American voters will decide what is looking like being an extremely close presidential race between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney. Barack Obama appeared to be on track for a comfortable victory as he gained a solid lead over Romney following the...

Sydney results broken down

The results from Saturday's Sydney state by-election were decisive. It was a clear victory for independent candidate Alex Greenwich, and for Clover Moore's political machine that supported his campaign. The result was a slap in the face to the Liberal Party, who passed legislation forcing...

Sydney by-election results live

Results of Sydney by-election 24/24 booths reporting primary votes. 24/24 booths reporting two-candidate-preferred votes. Candidate Party Prim % Swing 2PP % Swing Robyn Peebles CDP 1.9% +0.8% Alex Greenwich IND 48.5% +12.2% 64.9% +11.8% Chris Harris GRN 17.7% +5.0% Shayne Mallard LIB 29.8% -6.4% 35.1% -11.8% Glenn Wall IND 2.1% 2.1% 8:41pm - I was planning on posting a map of who won each booth, but it's not worth it. Below is the map produced showing the...

Exploring the history of local government

Last weekend I was at the Marrickville Festival and ended up chatting with one of the members of the local heritage society. For a while I've been fascinated by all of the old local councils that used to exist in Sydney prior to the...

Victorian council elections

In addition to the Sydney by-election, Saturday is election day for 78 councils across Victoria. I haven't been following the Victorian council elections closely and I probably won't be covering them in depth or being in a position to analyse them in the same depth...

Sydney by-election this Saturday

Read the Tally Room guide to the Sydney by-election. Voters in the state electorate of Sydney will be voting on Saturday to choose a replacement for the Lord Mayor of Sydney, Clover Moore, who was forced to resign as a state MP due to a...

Wrapping up the NSW council elections

NSW voters elected their local councillors six weeks ago, on September 8. At the time I was working on the election campaign and thus didn't have the time to give the proper treatment to the election on this blog. Now that the Tally Room...

Wrapping up the ACT results

Saturday night's result in the ACT election wouldn't be surprising to anyone paying attention to recent elections across Australia. The Liberal Party gained ground, while the Greens lost ground. This being the ACT, however, the Liberals didn't win in a landslide. They failed to outpoll...