Drummoyne – NSW 2019

LIB 18.8%

Incumbent MP
John Sidoti, since 2011.

Geography
Inner Western Sydney. The seat of Drummoyne covers suburbs on the southern side of Sydney Harbour, covering most of the City of Canada Bay. Suburbs include Drummoyne, Five Dock, Russell Lea, Concord, Rhodes and parts of North Strathfield.

History
Drummoyne has existed as an electoral district since 1913, with the exception of three elections in the 1920s when proportional representation, and Drummoyne was part of the Ryde multi-member district. Traditionally Drummoyne was dominated by conservatives, but it was held by the ALP continuously from 1962 to 2011.

The original seat was won by the Liberal/Nationalist party continuously from 1913 until its abolition in 1920, and then again was won by the Nationalists when it was restored in 1927, when it was won by John Lee, who had previously been one of five MLAs for Botany since 1920.

The ALP won Drummoyne off Lee in 1930, although he won back the seat in 1932. The ALP’s Robert Greig won Drummoyne in 1941, 14 years after he had last served in the Legislative Assembly as one of the Members for Ryde from 1920 to 1927.

Greig was defeated by the Liberal Party’s Robert Dewley in 1947. He held the seat for two terms, losing in 1953 to the ALP’s Roy Jackson.

Jackson held the seat for one term, and lost in 1956 to the Liberal Party’s Walter Lawrence. He held the seat for two terms, losing in 1962. He was the last Liberal to win Drummoyne.

In 1962, Drummoyne was won by the ALP’s Reg Coady, who had previously held the seat of Leichhardt since 1954, but moved to Drummoyne upon the abolition of his first seat. He retired in 1973.

Coady was succeeded in 1973 by Michael Maher. He held the seat until his resignation in 1982, when he ran for the by-election in the federal seat of Lowe. He held Lowe until his defeat in 1987.

The 1982 Drummoyne by-election was won by John Murray. He served as a shadow minister when Labor was in opposition, and served as Speaker of the Legislative Assembly from 1995 until his retirement in 2003.

Drummoyne has been held since 2003 by Angela D’Amore. D’Amore was appointed a Parliamentary Secretary in March 2010, but her rise was cut short by an ICAC inquiry in late 2010. This inquiry looked into misuse of parliamentary allowances, and she was found to have engaged in corrupt conduct. Following this decision, Premier Kristina Keneally removed her as a Parliamentary Secretary, and her membership of the Labor Party was suspended.

In 2011, Liberal candidate John Sidoti won Drummoyne with a 24% swing. Sidoti was re-elected in 2015.

Candidates

  • Charles Jago (Greens)

Assessment
Drummoyne has swung dramatically to the Liberal Party since 2007, making it a safe Liberal seat.

2015 result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
John Sidoti Liberal 28,61661.1+4.5
Jason Khoury Labor 11,10323.7-1.1
Alice Mantel Greens 5,14111.0+1.2
Pat Di CosmoNo Land Tax7161.5+1.5
Isabelle ZafirianChristian Democrats7061.5-0.5
Leon BelgraveOutdoor Recreation5441.2+1.2
Informal1,2002.5

2015 two-party-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
John Sidoti Liberal 29,66868.8+1.7
Jason Khoury Labor 13,46831.2-1.7

Booth breakdown

Booths in Drummoyne have been split into two halves, based on the two council areas that used to cover the area: Concord to the west of Canada Bay and Drummoyne to the east.

The Liberal Party polled 68.7% of the two-party-preferred vote in Concord, and 69.5% in Drummoyne.

The Greens polled 8.9% in Concord and 12.4% in Drummoyne.

Voter groupGRN prim %LIB 2PP %Total votes% of votes
Drummoyne12.469.517,19136.7
Concord8.968.715,87933.9
Other votes12.367.610,69922.8
Pre-poll9.069.33,0576.5

Election results in Drummoyne at the 2015 NSW state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Greens primary votes.

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10 COMMENTS

  1. Labor could still win this, but, this will be a Liberal seat until Labor win their next 1978-style victory.

  2. The Liberal shift in Drummoyne has been remarkably swift. A swing well above average in 2011, followed (perhaps even more remarkably) by another Liberal swing against the grain in 2015. This was a seat Labor had held since 1962!

    So strong has been the Liberal shift that Drummoyne now sits further out of reach than blue ribband seats like Epping and Lane Cove. You wonder if it’s there to stay.

  3. I don’t see how Reid could be said to be trending Labor. (Other than in the narrow sense that the current federal government is on the nose.)

    Reid has, as you’d expect, followed a similar trajectory to Drummoyne. Laundy increased his majority against the grain in 2016. It’s certainly a more Liberal friendly seat than Lowe was during the Howard years.

  4. huge demograpic changes this area is trending liberal very quickly………….. Coast, Maher and Murray were excellent Mps……but never the less Canada Bay council is labour controlled with a labor Mayor….. also I am sure Reid has a better vote in this area

  5. Amazing shift for what had been a safe-ish Labor seat it was held in 1988 fairly comfortably. Unfashionable late 19th century housing occupied by post-war migrants and a lower middle-class demographic replaced by redevelopments full of professionals drawn to a waterfront that had once been dominated by industry, view from the train north of Strathfield is so different these days from my childhood memories.

  6. ”Again” is the wrong word, In future a redistribution or a landslide win for Labor will surely make this seat to them someday again, If they get a 2011 result but instead they get the massive victory then they can win this seat in the next 50 years again

  7. Daniel – with respect, youre the guy who said that Reid is “trending”ALP. I’m afraid you do not understand the massive change in demographics at this end of Sydney.

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