Comments for The Tally Room Sat, 06 Jun 2020 05:04:29 +0000 hourly 1 Comment on NSW redistribution stats released by David Walsh Sat, 06 Jun 2020 05:04:29 +0000 Thanks for the heads up, Ben. This redistribution arrived sooner than I expected.

My takeaways from looking at the numbers:
– Though collectively under quota, all the inland rural districts ought to survive. This can be achieved by uniting the southern highlands in Goulburn, as well as transferring the surplus in the Hunter region.
– The north shore seats are collectively under quota, but only by minor amounts individually. I’d say all will remain with a general westward expansion; especially with Castle Hill projected to be far above quota.
– A seat between the Parramatta and Georges rivers looks vulnerable to abolition. The collective shortfall in this area is huge.
– I think one new seat more likely than two. Obviously somewhere in the outer west, probably in the south west (notwithstanding the aforementioned northward expansion of Goulburn.)

Other regions shouldn’t change much:
– North coast seats should remain largely as is.
– Not much change in the Hunter/central coast region. The biggest surpluses are in the outer seats of Maitland and Cessnock.
– A surplus in the Illawarra region will drag Heathcote south.
– Expect little or no change south of the Illawarra.

Comment on Eden-Monaro by-election, 2020 by Andrew Jackson Fri, 05 Jun 2020 23:53:14 +0000 Today’s weekend Australian has a good map of Division with some details of booth results. Quite good analysis of Local geography but no details about candidates.

Probably because candidate info is not handed to Reporters on a plate they place in too hard a basket. I still think that Liberal Party will do well
Booth figures are definitely very clustered with ALP dominating Queanbeyan and Coastal areas. Eden Monaro is certainly an interesting electorate.

Comment on Eden-Monaro by-election, 2020 by Andrew Jackson Fri, 05 Jun 2020 13:10:28 +0000 Ben
I appreciate that is your rule and accept it is your site.
However would you have listed Gough Whitlam in 1972 as ALP or as independent. In 1972 ALP was not a registered party.

I appreciate that whatever policy you adopt there will be problems . In 1955 especially in Victoria there were two ALP groups. Ultimately court ruled that DLP group was real ALP but for some reason they permitted current ALP to take the name.
However providing you are consistent in the application of your policy New Liberals have no right to complain. I would imagine AEC will refuse to register New Liberals due to similarity to Liberal Party name. No doubt this will be resolved in court.
Consistency might require you to use the registered name of party which you chose not to do with Labour DLP .
Ultimately I appreciate it is your site and you can do as you please . So bad luck Karen Porter.

Good to see some candidate activity.

Comment on NSW redistribution stats released by Harry Drewer Fri, 05 Jun 2020 12:25:38 +0000 Have they considered expanding the size of the Legislative Assembly? It’s been a long time since it has been bigger, why not bring it to 125? Seems like a decent idea to me!

Comment on NSW redistribution stats released by Bennee Fri, 05 Jun 2020 11:55:53 +0000 How come they do this redistribution so far away from the next election?

Surely they could scheduled it to be finalised around March 2022, certainly there would then be a better chance at drawing borders for a sensible 2026 election than if you draw them now.

Comment on Eden-Monaro by-election, 2020 by Ben Raue Fri, 05 Jun 2020 10:49:39 +0000 Get registered and then I will list her with the party ID. Until then she is running independent of a registered party.

Comment on How the AEC is adapting Eden-Monaro for Covid by Andrew Jackson Thu, 04 Jun 2020 08:57:11 +0000 You would think that Andrew Thaler would have organised someone to comment on what he has been doing if he was a serious candidate.
Considering that my last comment was a week ago and no one else has commented it must be a very boring election or the candidates are extremely inactive.

Comment on How the AEC is adapting Eden-Monaro for Covid by Jen Thu, 04 Jun 2020 08:50:25 +0000 Any word on how Australia Post will be handling delivery timetables in the electorate? It’s not remote Australia, so you would hope 13 days would be enough, but Australia Post aren’t the most competant business at the best of times, and with their reduced Covid timetables, and their failures at recent elections… they could maybe do with a few questions coming their way in advance?

Comment on Eden-Monaro by-election, 2020 by Andrew jackson Mon, 01 Jun 2020 02:50:48 +0000 The decision not to conduct mobile booths in nursing homes is probably a no choice option. However from
My experience on mobile booths even neutral public service types are placed in difficult positions to ensure fair results. I would say that the mobile booths that I have been a part of ( once as an OIC and once as a scutineer) were conducted as fairly as possible but most of the voters were voting In a sort of replay of 1958
Election. Polling Officials were allowed to offer some assistance and had How to Votes on hand if voters wanted them. The nursing home had done its best to remove most residents from the roll But still there were those who should not have been voting casting ballots.
Postal Ballots I this situation are a recipe for party manipulation of ballot.

Yes it is democratic to allow aged care residents to vote. If a patient has dementia should they have a vote? Who makes this decision?

Comment on How the AEC is adapting Eden-Monaro for Covid by Adrian Jackson Fri, 29 May 2020 06:27:11 +0000 I encourage everyone to postal vote and not risk a corona virus death.