Cook – Australia 2019

LIB 15.4%

Incumbent MP
Scott Morrison, since 2007.

Geography
Southern Sydney, Cook covers parts of the Sutherland Shire and the St George area. Suburbs in Sutherland include Cronulla, Sylvania, Miranda, Gymea, Caringbah and Taren Point. Suburbs in the St George area include Sans Souci, Ramsgate, Sandringham, Monterey, Beverley Park, Kogarah Bay, Kyle Bay and Blakehurst.

History
Cook was first created for the 1969 election. The suburbs around the current seat of Cook were first included in the seat of Illawarra from federation until the 1922 election, when it was transferred to Werriwa, when Werriwa was a large rural seat covering areas south of Sydney. The seat of Hughes was created in 1955, which was the first seat based in Sutherland. Cook was then created in 1969. This used the same name as an earlier seat based in inner Sydney, which had been a safe Labor seat before its abolition in 1955.

For the previous sixty years the seat covering Sutherland had been mostly held by the Labor Party, although Hughes was lost to Liberal candidate Don Dobie in 1966, and Cook has been held by the Liberals for most of its existence.

Dobie transferred to Cook in 1969, but was defeated by Labor’s Ray Thorburn in 1972. Thorburn was defeated by Dobie in 1975 and Dobie held the seat until his retirement in 1996.

Dobie was succeeded by Stephen Mutch, a member of the NSW upper house, in 1996, and Mutch was defeated for preselection by Bruce Baird in 1998. Baird had previously been a state MP and Minister for Transport from 1988 to 1995, as well as taking charge of Sydney’s Olympic big up to 1993.

Baird held the seat for nine years, during which time he developed a reputation as an independent-minded Liberal backbencher who was occasionally critical of the Howard government.

Baird announced his retirement at the 2007 election, and the Liberal preselection was originally won by Michael Towke. Towke’s preselection was overturned amid allegations of branch stacking in a controversial contest, and he was replaced by the former director of the NSW Liberal Party, Scott Morrison.

Morrison won the seat in 2007, and has been re-elected three times. Morrison has served as a senior minister since 2013, and as Treasurer since 2015.

Candidates
No information.

Assessment
Cook is a safe Liberal seat.

2016 result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Scott Morrison Liberal 53,32158.3-1.4
David Atkins Labor 24,28326.6+0.4
Nathan Hunt Greens 6,1986.8+0.9
George CapsisChristian Democratic Party4,4304.8+2.9
John BrettIndependent3,1533.5+3.5
Informal4,9835.2

2016 two-party-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Scott Morrison Liberal 59,76065.4-0.3
David Atkins Labor 31,62534.6+0.3

Booth breakdown

Booths have been divided into five parts named after key suburbs. All of the booths in the St George area have been grouped as “Sans Souci”. Those in the Sutherland Shire have been split between Sylvania in the north, Cronulla in the east, Gymea-Miranda in the south-west and Caringbah in the centre.

The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all five areas, ranging from 59.7% in Sans Souci to 70.5% in Caringbah.

Voter groupLIB 2PP %Total votes% of votes
Sans Souci59.716,21817.7
Caringbah70.514,13315.5
Gymea-Miranda63.814,02915.4
Cronulla66.012,48713.7
Sylvania69.17,7508.5
Other votes65.111,89613.0
Pre-poll66.214,87216.3

Two-party-preferred votes in Cook at the 2016 federal election

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Ben Raue is the founder and author of the Tally Room.If you like this post, please consider donating to support the Tally Room.